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Trading sports is an increasingly popular option on Kalshi, where you can earn a $10 cash bonus by using the newest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS. On Sunday, the Seattle Seahawks will play the New England Patriots in the Big Game at Levi's Stadium, and Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold is sure to generate plenty of interest in prediction markets. 

Now, Darnold is trading at 45 cents per share to win MVP honors in the Big Game, and you can also trade on his passing yardage, the number of passing touchdowns he throws, and his rushing yardage. The SportsLine Projection Model is predicting that Darnold finishes with 225 or more passing yards and two or more passing touchdowns. Click the claim bonus button below to sign up for Kalshi, trade $10 on sports and receive your $10 bonus:

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  1. Click the CLAIM BONUS button above and navigate to the Kalshi site or app. 
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Sam Darnold markets for Seahawks vs. Patriots on Kalshi

  • 225 passing yards or more ($0.55 per share)
  • 2 passing touchdowns or more ($0.52 per share)

The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Big Game on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL trades at Kalshi could also see strong returns. Click here to sign up:

225 passing yards or more

After struggling as a starter with the Jets and Panthers, and then spending a year as a backup with the 49ers, Darnold signed to compete for a starting role with J.J. McCarthy in Minnesota last season. When McCarthy was injured in the preseason, Darnold seized the opportunity and threw for 4,319 yards and 35 touchdowns. He parlayed that success into a nine-figure deal with the Seahawks and added 4,048 yards and 25 more touchdowns to his resume this season. In the Divisional Round, Darnold only attempted 17 passes with Seattle dominating the line of scrimmage against the 49ers, but he answered the call with 346 passing yards and three touchdowns while going head-to-head with a potent Rams offense. The model predicts that he throws for 231 yards on average against New England in the Big Game. Back Darnold 225 passing yards or more right here:

2 passing touchdowns or more

Darnold has thrown a passing touchdown in 14 of the 19 starts that he's made this season, so you could purchase shares for him to throw one passing touchdown or more, but you'll pay a major premium ($0.81 per share) to do so. He's thrown for two or more touchdowns on nine occasions, and he's coming off a brilliant performance in the NFC Championship Game. Darnold went 25-of-36 for 346 yards and three touchdowns in a 31-27 win over the Rams. New England has been better in run defense (sixth) than pass defense (ninth) this season, and the model is predicting that there's value on Darnold throwing multiple touchdown passes in the Big Game. Back Darnold two or more TD passes right here:

How Kalshi's Sam Darnold markets work

For each Kalshi market that's available, a set of regulations regarding what qualifies as a successful trade is available on the market's page. So for Kalshi Sam Darnold markets, you can find a rules summary that specifically defines how to trade based on any individual statistic they have available. 

Those guidelines regulate how value is being measured, what the designated timeline is for the specific even and how Kalshi chooses to verify the source of the outcome. Be sure to read the rules completely for each market before trading, and sign up here:

Event contracts trading involves a risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements.  Participation may be restricted or prohibited in certain jurisdictions and participants are responsible for ensuring their participation complies with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdiction.