The No. 8 Baylor Bears (0-1) will try to bounce back from their blowout loss to No. 6 Gonzaga when they face the No. 16 Arkansas Razorbacks (1-0) in Dallas on Saturday. Baylor trailed for almost the entirety of its game against Gonzaga, falling in a 101-63 final. Arkansas is in its first season under head coach John Calipari, who notched a 76-60 win over Lipscomb in his debut on Wednesday. This will be the 146th meeting between these teams, but it is just the fifth matchup since Arkansas left the Southwest Conference in 1991.  

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at American Airlines Center. Baylor is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Baylor vs. Arkansas odds, while the over/under is 154.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Arkansas vs. Baylor picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024-25 season on a 153-110 betting roll (+1891) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns. 

The model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Baylor. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the Baylor vs. Arkansas game:

  • Baylor vs. Arkansas spread: Baylor -3.5
  • Baylor vs. Arkansas over/under: 154.5 points
  • Baylor vs. Arkansas money line: Baylor: -161, Arkansas: +135
  • Baylor vs. Arkansas picks: See picks here
  • Baylor vs. Arkansas streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Baylor can cover

Baylor played the toughest season opener of any ranked team in college basketball on Monday, having to travel to Washington for its game at No. 6 Gonzaga. The Bears were unable to contend with a Bulldogs team that shot 57% from the floor and 42% from 3-point range. They have a chance to put that loss behind them immediately, as Arkansas is another ranked opponent playing under a legendary coach. 

With just one returning starter from last season, Baylor should improve as its starting lineup develops chemistry. Senior forward Norchad Omier, a transfer from Miami, had 15 points and nine rebounds against Gonzaga. The Bears have won seven of their last eight games against SEC teams, while Arkansas is winless in its last six Saturday games away from home. See which team to pick here. 

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas opened the Calipari era with a 76-60 win over Lipscomb on Wednesday, pulling away down the stretch after Lipscomb got within four at one point. Freshman guard Boogie Fland scored a team-high 17 points, while Florida Atlantic transfer guard Johnell Davis had 15 points. Calipari heavily used the transfer portal to build an talented roster from scratch, with Davis being one of his biggest hauls.  

Redshirt-freshman forward Zvonimir Ivisic, who followed Calipari from Kentucky to Arkansas, had 12 points and three rebounds in the opener. Fellow Kentucky transfers Adou Thiero and D.J. Wagner combined for 15 points and six rebounds against Lipscomb. Baylor has only covered the spread twice in its last six games dating back to last season, and it is coming off a rough showing on Monday. See which team to pick here.  

How to make Baylor vs. Arkansas picks

The model has simulated Arkansas vs. Baylor 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Baylor vs. Arkansas, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Arkansas vs. Baylor spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 153-110 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.