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USATSI

The Belmont Bruins and Valparaiso Beacons are set to clash in a Missouri Valley Tournament matchup on Thursday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Belmont finished the regular season 19-12, while Valparaiso finished the regular season 7-24. The Bruins have won six of the last eight meetings against the Beacons. 

This time around, Belmont is favored by 13.5 points in the latest Belmont vs. Valparaiso odds, and the over/under is 155.5 points. Before entering any Valparaiso vs. Belmont picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 season on a 141-100 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 26-17 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Valparaiso vs. Belmont. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:

  • Belmont vs. Valparaiso spread: Belmont -13.5
  • Belmont vs. Valparaiso over/under: 155.5 points
  • Belmont vs. Valparaiso money line: Belmont: -1088, Valparaiso: +690
  • Belmont vs. Valparaiso picks: See picks here

What you need to know about Belmont

Belmont entered its tilt with Evansville with two consecutive wins but the Bruins will enter Thursday's game with three. The Bruins took down the Aces 83-66 on Sunday. Belmont's victory was a true team effort, with multiple players turning in solid performances. 

Perhaps the best among them was Keishawn Davidson, who scored 17 points along with six rebounds. Ja'Kobi Gillespie was another key contributor, scoring 18 points to go along with five rebounds and two steals. The Bruins are now 7-1 in their last eight games, but they're just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine contests played in March. 

What you need to know about Valparaiso

Valparaiso can finally bid farewell to its 11-game losing streak thanks to its game on Sunday. The Beacons came out on top in a nail-biter against the Illinois State Redbirds and snuck past 75-72.

Valparaiso relied on the efforts of Isaiah Stafford, who stuffed the stat sheet with 20 points, eight rebounds and two steals. Cooper Schwieger also had a productive performance, scoring 28 points to go along with five rebounds. That's the most points Schwieger has scored all season. 

How to make Belmont vs. Valparaiso picks

The model has simulated Belmont vs. Valparaiso 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Valparaiso vs. Belmont, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 141-100 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.