Central Arkansas vs. Bellarmine odds, prediction: 2026 ASUN Tournament picks for March 6 from proven model

The eighth-seeded Bellarmine Knights face the top-seeded Central Arkansas Bears in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Atlantic Sun Tournament on Friday afternoon. Bellarmine is coming off an 82-79 win over Jacksonville in a first-round matchup on Wednesday, while Central Arkansas downed Queens 84-79 in the regular-season finale on Saturday. The Knights (13-18, 7-11 ASUN), who have won two in a row, last won the ASUN Tournament in 2022. The Bears (20-11, 15-3 ASUN), who have won two consecutive games, are looking for their first-ever ASUN title.

Tipoff from Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla., is set for noon ET. Bellarmine leads the all-time series 5-3, and the teams split two regular-season meetings this year. Central Arkansas is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Bellarmine vs. Central Arkansas odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 155.5. Before making any Bellarmine vs. Central Arkansas picks, check out the men's college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered Week 18 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 23-17 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.    

Now, the model has simulated Bellarmine vs. Central Arkansas 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men's college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several men's college basketball odds and men's college basketball betting lines for Central Arkansas vs. Bellarmine:

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Top Bellarmine vs. Central Arkansas predictions

SportsLine's model is going Over on the total (155.5 points). The Over has hit in the last two head-to-head meetings. The Over hits in five of the last seven Bellarmine games, and in five of the last 10 Central Arkansas games. Bellarmine is 7-3 against the spread in its last 10 games. Central Arkansas, meanwhile, is 8-2 ATS in its last 10.

The model projects the Knights to have four players score 10 points or more, including Jack Karasinski's projected 23.5 points. The Bears are projected to have four players score 10.5 points or more, led by Camren Hunter, who is projected to score 21 points. The model is projecting 165 combined points as the Over clears in well over 60% of simulations. 

How to make Central Arkansas vs. Bellarmine picks

The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Central Arkansas vs. Bellarmine, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bellarmine vs. Central Arkansas spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.