The No. 13 LSU Tigers host the Florida Gators in SEC action beginning at 7 ET on Wednesday night. The hosts are 6.5-point favorites with the total at 141 in the latest LSU vs. Florida odds. The Tigers are tied with Tennessee for first place in the conference at 11-1, while Florida is in a four-way tie for sixth place at 6-6 in the league. This is the first of two meetings between the two teams in the next two weeks, so it will be interesting to see how they adjust to each other's game plan. So before you make any LSU vs. Florida picks of your own, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks.
It also entered Week 16 of the 2018-19 college basketball season on a blistering 16-8 run on top-rated college basketball side picks either against the spread or on the money line. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated LSU vs. Florida 10,000 times. We can tell you it is leaning Over, but it also has a strong against the spread pick that hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before you lock in your own picks.
For Wednesday, the model knows that LSU will have a significant advantage on the offensive glass.
The Tigers grab 37.1 percent of available offensive rebounds, which is the eighth-highest rate in the nation, and they're going up against a Florida squad that struggles to keep teams from getting second-chance points. The Gators rank 288th among Division-I teams in defensive rebounding percentage, and if that disparity comes into play Wednesday it could spell trouble for Florida.
Naz Reid, Emmitt Williams, Kavell Bigby-Williams and Darius Days all averaging at least two offensive rebounds a game for LSU, and Florida only has two players who average more than four rebounds. So look for LSU to attack the offensive glass even harder than usual.
The Gators will look to cover the Florida vs. LSU spread by stealing possessions back from the Tigers' offense.
The Gators are 10th in adjusted defensive efficiency and force turnovers on 23.8 percent of their opponents' possessions. That's the seventh-best mark in the country, and LSU has struggled with turnovers, giving the ball away on 18.9 percent of its possessions to rank 193rd in the nation.
Injuries in the front court have made Florida's rotation a little guard-heavy at times, but the Gators have actually used that to their advantage by using their quickness to pressure the ball and force mistakes. Expect KeVaughn Allen, Andrew Nembhard and Noah Locke to disrupt on Wednesday, and if they can it opens up the door for Florida to keep things close against the ranked Tigers.
Who wins LSU vs. Florida? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model that has returned more than $5,000 to $100 players the last two years.
