New Mexico State vs. Liberty odds, prediction, time: 2026 college basketball picks for January 15 from model

The Liberty Flames look to continue their winning ways when they take on the New Mexico State Aggies in a key Conference USA matchup on Thursday night. New Mexico State is coming off a 59-55 loss to Middle Tennessee State on Saturday, while Liberty downed Sam Houston State 82-74 that same day. The Aggies (9-6, 2-3 C-USA), who have lost three of four, are 0-3 away from home this season. The Flames (13-3, 5-0 C-USA), who have won seven in a row, are 8-0 on their home court.

Tip-off from Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, Va., is set for 6 p.m. ET. Liberty leads the all-time series 3-1, including a 2-0 mark in games played in Lynchburg. Liberty is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest New Mexico State vs. Liberty odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 142.5. Before making any Liberty vs. New Mexico State picks, check out the men's college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $300 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it enters Week 11 on a sizzling 9-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns. 

Now, the model has simulated New Mexico State vs. Liberty 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men's college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several men's college basketball odds and men's college basketball betting lines for Liberty vs. New Mexico State:

New users can check out the latest bet365 bonus code to get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:

How to make Liberty vs. New Mexico State picks

SportsLine's model is going Over on the total (142.5 points). The Over has hit in two of the four meetings between the teams. The over has hit in six of New Mexico State's last eight games, and in three of Liberty's last five. New Mexico State is 3-6 against the spread in its last nine games, while Liberty is 5-4 ATS in its last nine. 

The model projects the Aggies to have three players register 10.9 points or more, including Jemel Jones' projected 14.5 points. The Flames, meanwhile, are projected to have five players score 10.4 or more points, led by Kaden Metheny, who is projected to score 19.0 points. The model projects a combined total of 146 points as the Over clears in 60% of simulations.

The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Liberty vs. New Mexico State, and which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the New Mexico State vs. Liberty spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.