North Carolina vs. Miami odds, prediction, time: 2026 college basketball picks for Feb. 10 from proven model

ACC squads with matching conference records will collide on Tuesday's college basketball schedule as the North Carolina Tar Heels visit the Miami Hurricanes. No. 11 UNC (19-4, 7-3 ACC) is on a five-game win streak, with the most recent of those being when it knocked off Duke, 71-68, on a last-second shot on Saturday. Miami (18-5, 7-3 ACC) has won three of its last four and is coming off a Saturday victory over Boston College, 74-68. The Tar Heels are 25-10, all-time, versus the Canes.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET from the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Fla. UNC has won each of the last three matchups. The Tar Heels are 1.5-point favorites per the latest Miami vs. North Carolina odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 157.5. Before making any North Carolina vs. Miami picks, check out the men's college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it enters Week 15 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on an 11-5 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has simulated Miami vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men's college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several men's college basketball odds and men's college basketball betting lines for North Carolina vs. Miami:

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How to make North Carolina vs. Miami picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Miami vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and is going Under on the total (158.5 points). These two have engaged in low-scoring defensive battles in recent years, as five of their last six meetings not only failed to reach 158.5 points, but none of them even reached 153 points. Those six contests have averaged 147.3 points, with none of their last three meetings in Miami even reaching that low total.

Just six teams in all of Division I allow a lower 2-point percentage than UNC, as it makes it a task to generate points from inside the arc. Meanwhile, Miami has been an underdog five times this season, and the Under has hit in four of those games. With both squads projected to score at least 4 points under their season averages, the Under hits in more than 50% of simulations.

The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Miami vs. UNC, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UNC vs. Miami spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.