The No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels will face off against the Dayton Flyers in the 2024 Maui Invitational on Monday. Carolina is 3-1 overall, while Dayton is 5-0 overall, and this will be the first neutral-site game of the year for both teams. The programs have split their two previous all-time meetings, with Dayton prevailing in the last matchup in 2010. Both squads are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024-25 college basketball season.
Tipoff is at 11:30 p.m. ET at the Lahaina Civic Center in Maui, Hawaii. The Tar Heels are favored by 8.5 points in the latest North Carolina vs. Dayton odds, per SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 154.5 points. Before entering any Dayton vs. North Carolina picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 4 of the 2024-25 season on a 162-118 betting roll (+1952) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Dayton vs. UNC. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for UNC vs. Dayton:
- North Carolina vs. Dayton spread: UNC -8.5
- North Carolina vs. Dayton over/under: 154.5 points
- North Carolina vs. Dayton money line: UNC: -347, Dayton: +274
- North Carolina vs. Dayton picks: See picks at SportsLine
- North Carolina vs. Dayton streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why North Carolina can cover
Last Saturday, Carolina strolled past Hawaii with points to spare, taking the game 87-69. RJ Davis led the way with 18 points, while Elliot Cadeau had 17. Another player making a difference was Seth Trimble, who had 13 points, four assists, three rebounds and two steals.
As is typical for a UNC team, these Tar Heels get up and down the court, ranking seventh in the nation with 93.3 points per game. Its offense is extremely efficient as despite being so high-octane, it takes care of the ball as no team in the country averages fewer turnovers per game. Davis, a Preseason AP All-American, is leading UNC with 17.8 points, while Cadeau, who made ACC All-Freshman last year, is topping the conference with 6.8 assists. After dropping their first game against the spread, the Tar Heels have since covered in three straight. See which team to pick here.
Why Dayton can cover
Meanwhile, Dayton entered its tilt with New Mexico St. on Wednesday with four consecutive wins but it'll enter its next game with five. The Flyers won by a 74-53 margin, and Dayton can attribute much of its success to Nate Santos, who went 6 for 10 from beyond the arc en route to 23 points plus eight rebounds. The Flyers doubled up the Aggies in terms of assists, with 20 dimes on the night, compared to New Mexico State's 10 helpers.
As the score of that game indicates, defense is the calling card for Anthony Grant's team. The Flyers have yet to allow an opponent reach 70 points in any game this season, as they rank 22nd in all of college basketball by allowing 60 points per night. Enoch Cheeks leads the A-10 with 3.3 steals, while Ohio State transfer Zed Key is blocking 1.8 shots per game. The Flyers enter tonight's contest with a two-day rest advantage over UNC, and Dayton sports an 8-3 ATS record with a rest advantage since last season. See which team to pick here.
How to make North Carolina vs. Dayton picks
The model has simulated Dayton vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UNC vs. Dayton, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Dayton vs. UNC spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $1,700 on its college basketball picks dating back to 2023, and find out.
