Northern Iowa vs. UIC odds, prediction: 2026 MVC Tournament championship picks from proven model
SportsLine's model simulated UIC Flames vs. Northern Iowa Panthers in the championship game of the 2026 MVC Tournament, also known as 'Arch Madness'

'Arch Madness' concludes on Sunday with a surprising championship matchup between the No. 5 seed UIC Flames and the No. 6 Northern Iowa Panthers. Northern Iowa (19-12, 11-9 MVC) beat Evansville, Illinois State and Bradley to advance to the final. UIC (17-14, 12-8) defeated Murray State and Drake. Northern Iowa is looking for its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2016, while UIC last appeared in the 'Big Dance' in 2004. These teams split their two regular season matchups both straight up and against the sprad.
Tipoff from the Enterprise Center is set for noon ET on CBS and Paramount+. The Panthers are 2.5-point favorites in the latest UIC vs. Northern Iowa odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 123.5. Before making any Northern Iowa vs. UIC picks, check out the men's college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered Week 18 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 23-17 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has simulated UIC vs. Northern Iowa 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men's college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several men's college basketball odds and men's college basketball betting lines for Northern Iowa vs. UIC:
Northern Iowa vs. UIC spread: | Northern Iowa -2.5 |
Northern Iowa vs. UIC over/under: | 123.5 points |
Northern Iowa vs. UIC money line: | Northern Iowa -162, UIC +134 |
Northern Iowa vs. UIC picks: | |
Northern Iowa vs. UIC streaming: |
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Top Northern Iowa vs. UIC predictions
SportsLine's model is going Over on the total (123.5 points). These teams are both known for strong defenses, but they've been competent offensively during Arch Madness. UIC has averaged 82 points during this tournament, while Northern Iowa has averaged 71.7.
The model is expecting the teams to play closer to their tournament scoring averages as opposed to their lower season-long averages. It is projecting 150 combined points as the Over clears 86% of the time in the simulations.
How to make UIC vs. Northern Iowa picks
The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UIC vs. Northern Iowa, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.
















