The No. 2 seed UC Davis Aggies (20-12) will try to extend their four-game winning streak and book their spot in the NCAA Tournament when they face the No. 4 seed LBSU Beach (20-14) in the 2024 Big West Tournament title game on Saturday night. UC Davis beat LBSU in an 88-78 final last Saturday to wrap up the regular season, and it advanced to the conference title game with a 68-65 win over No. 3 seed Hawaii on Friday. LBSU opened its Big West Tournament run with an 86-67 win over No. 5 seed UC Riverside before taking down top seed UC Irvine on Friday. UC Davis is aiming for its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2017, while LBSU is seeking its first berth since 2012.
Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at Dollar Loan Center in Henderson, Nev. UC Davis is favored by 1.5 points in the latest UC Davis vs. LBSU odds, while the over/under is 144, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any LBSU vs. UC Davis picks, you need to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters 2024 conference championship week on a 145-104 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 28-18 (+820) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on LBSU vs. UC Davis. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:
- UC Davis vs. LBSU spread: UC Davis -1.5
- UC Davis vs. LBSU over/under: 144 points
- UC Davis vs. LBSU money line: UC Davis -127, LBSU +107
- UC Davis vs. LBSU picks: See picks here
Why UC Davis can cover
UC Davis has won 10 of the last 15 meetings between these teams, including its road win at LBSU last Saturday as a 2-point underdog. The Aggies took a 46-39 lead at halftime and wound up winning by double digits, as Kane Milling scored 24 points and grabbed five rebounds. They returned to the court on Friday night, taking down No. 3 seed Hawaii in the semifinals of this tournament.
Senior guard Elijah Pepper poured in 25 points on 10 of 23 shooting, while Milling chipped in 14 points and seven rebounds. Long Beach State has only covered the spread once in its last six games, and it is playing for the third day in a row. UC Davis is playing just its second game of the tournament, giving the Aggies a crucial rest advantage in the championship.
Why LBSU can cover
LBSU was a streaky team in the regular season, winning five consecutive games in February before dropping its final five games of the campaign. The Beach have recovered when the stakes have been the highest, opening the conference tournament with an 86-67 win over UC Riverside as 3-point favorites. Junior forward Lassina Traore posted a double-double with 21 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 8 of 10 from the floor.
Sophomore guard AJ George added 21 points off the bench, while junior forward Aboubacar Traore notched a triple-double with 12 points, 11 rebounds and 13 assists. The Beach sprung an upset as 7.5-point underdogs against UC Irvine on Friday, as Aboubacar Traore had 20 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. They have covered the spread in eight of their last 12 games against UC Davis. See which team to pick here.
How to make UC Davis vs. LBSU picks
The model has simulated LBSU vs. UC Davis 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UC Davis vs. LBSU, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 145-104 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.
