Ball State vs. Miami (Ohio) prediction, MACtion odds: 2024 Week 11 college football picks from proven model

SportsLine's model simulated Tuesday's Miami (Ohio) vs. Ball State MACtion matchup 10,000 times

By CBS Sports Staff

Nov 4, 2024 at 10:19 am ET • 3 min read

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The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks will look to stay in the Mid-American Conference title chase when they battle the Ball State Cardinals in a key matchup on Tuesday night. Miami is coming off a 46-7 win over Central Michigan on Oct. 26, while Ball state defeated Northern Illinois 25-23 that same day. The RedHawks (4-4, 3-1 MAC), who have won three in a row, are 1-3 on the road this season. The Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC), who are looking to win their second game in a row and third in four weeks, are 2-1 on their home field this year.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Ind. Miami (Ohio) holds a 23-13-1 series advantage, including a 10-7 mark all-time in Muncie. The RedHawks are 12-point favorites in the latest Miami (Ohio) vs. Ball State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 49.5. Before making any Miami (Ohio) vs. Ball State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Miami (Ohio) vs. Ball State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines and trends for Ball State vs. Miami

Miami vs. Ball State spread: Miami -12
Miami vs. Ball State over-under: 49.5 points
Miami vs. Ball State money line: Miami -463, Ball State +348
MIA: The RedHawks have hit the game total under in nine of their last 13 games (+4.60 units)
BALL: The Cardinals have hit the money line in five of their last 10 games (+4.90 units)
Miami vs. Ball State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Miami vs. Ball State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back Miami (Ohio)

Sixth-year senior quarterback Brett Gabbert powers the RedHawks' offense. He has completed 132 of 224 passes (58.9%) for 1,727 yards and 13 touchdowns with seven interceptions and a 136.6 rating. He has thrown eight touchdown passes over the past three games with no interceptions. In a 38-14 win over Eastern Michigan on Oct. 12, he completed 10 of 13 passes for 222 yards and four touchdowns.

Leading the rushing attack is senior running back Keyon Mozee. He has four 100-yard rushing games this season, all coming in the last five games. In the win over Central Michigan, he carried 15 times for 120 yards. He carried nine times for 114 yards and one touchdown in a 23-20 overtime win over Massachusetts on Sept. 28. For the season, Mozee has carried 86 times for 545 yards (6.3 average) and two touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Ball State

Redshirt freshman quarterback Kadin Semonza is having a solid season. He has completed 179 of 269 passes (66.5%) for 1,749 yards and 15 touchdowns with seven interceptions and a rating of 134.4. He has also rushed for one score. He is coming off a 20-for-33 (60.6%), 211-yard and two-touchdown performance in the win over Northern Illinois. He completed 21 of 29 passes (72.4%) for 190 yards and one touchdown in a 24-14 loss at Vanderbilt on Oct. 19.

Powering the running game is senior running back Braedon Sloan. He leads the team with 123 carries for 502 yards (4.1 average) and four touchdowns. In a 37-35 win at Kent State on Oct. 12, he carried 22 times for 76 yards (3.5 average) and two touchdowns. He had 19 rushes for 94 yards (4.9 average) and one touchdown in a 37-34 loss at Central Michigan. See which team to pick here.