The TCU Horned Frogs and Baylor Bears look to each extend their winning streaks to three games as they face off in a Big 12 matchup on Saturday evening. TCU (5-3) enters off a 35-34 comeback victory over Texas Tech in Week 9, while Baylor (4-4) beat Oklahoma State last week, 38-28. The Horned Frogs have won eight of the last nine meetings, including a 42-17 home victory in 2023. Both teams are 5-3 against the spread this season.
Kickoff from McLane Stadium in Waco is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The Bears are 3-point favorites in the latest Baylor vs. TCU odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 64. Before making any TCU vs. Baylor picks or CFB predictions, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 16-7 on all top-rated picks over the past five weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on TCU vs. Baylor and has locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds for the Baylor vs. TCU game:
- Baylor vs. TCU spread: Baylor -3
- Baylor vs. TCU over/under: 64 points
- Baylor vs. TCU money line: Baylor -152, TCU +125
- Baylor vs. TCU picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Baylor vs. TCU streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why TCU can cover
After a 2-2 start to the 2024 season, the Horned Frogs have won three of their last four games and still have a slim chance of competing in the Big 12 Championship Game. First, they need to defeat their in-state rivals in Waco this weekend. Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,614 yards and 19 touchdowns in eight games, as well as three additional scores on the ground. In the team's comeback win over Texas Tech last week, Hoover threw for 344 yards and three touchdowns, despite tossing two interceptions.
Senior wide receiver Jack Bech leads the team in receiving yards (825) and touchdowns (7) as Hoover's top target. He has eclipsed 100 yards receiving in four of eight games, including a nine catch, 200-yard effort against UCF earlier this season. Another key player on the Horned Frogs' offense is wide receiver Savion Williams, who in addition to 436 yards and five touchdowns through the air this season, has rushed for 72 yards in both of TCU's most recent victories. See which team to pick here.
Why Baylor can cover
After losing three straight, Baylor could've folded and essentially given up this season. But the Bears have fought back scoring a combined 97 points over the last two weeks and continuing their quest for a bowl bid. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has thrown for eight touchdowns and 496 combined yards over the last two weeks. On the season, he has 17 passing and four rushing touchdowns, pacing a dynamic Baylor attack that ranks in the top half of the Big 12 averaging 409.4 yards per game.
Surprisingly, the Bears do not have a running back nor a wide receiver who has rushed or caught passes for more than 400 yards this season. Bryson Washington (70-380-3) and Dawson Pendergrass (56-362-2) lead the team in rushing, while Josh Cameron (25-365-7), Ashtyn Hawkins (24-346-3), and Hal Presley (19-300-3) are Baylor's leading receivers. The Bears are 3-1 at home this season, with their only loss by six to an undefeated BYU team, and look to come away victorious again at McLane Stadium in Week 10. See which team to pick here.
How to make TCU vs. Baylor picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 65 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Baylor vs. TCU, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its college football picks since inception, and find out.