The Florida State Seminoles (0-3) have been the biggest disappointment in the country so far this season, so they will be desperate to turn things around against the California Golden Bears (3-0) in an ACC matchup on Saturday night. FSU has suffered three straight losses as a favorite to open the campaign, including a 20-12 loss to Memphis last week. Cal has won two of its first three games by double digits, notching a 31-10 win over San Diego State its last time out. This is the first-ever meeting between these schools on the gridiron. 

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on Saturday at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium. Florida State is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Florida State vs. California odds, while the over/under is 44.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Cal vs. Florida State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 5-2 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on California vs. Florida State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:

  • Florida State vs. California spread: Florida State -2.5
  • Florida State vs. California over/under: 44.5 points
  • Florida State vs. California money line: Florida State -128, California +107
  • Florida State vs. California picks: See picks here

Why Florida State can cover

Florida State went 13-0 during the 2023 regular season and opened the 2024 campaign ranked inside the top 10. The Seminoles were whopping 17-point favorites against Boston College two weeks ago, so this is a massive line adjustment. They are also playing at home for the third straight week, so any residual effects of their trip to Ireland should be gone. 

Meanwhile, California is making a cross-country trip for its first-ever ACC game, so this is not an easy matchup for the Golden Bears. They have only picked up five wins in their last 20 road games, while Florida State is 9-2 in its last 11 home games. This is a buy-low spot on Florida State and a sell-high spot on Cal. See which team to pick here. 

Why California can cover

California is off to an excellent start to its first season in the ACC, racking up three non-conference victories to open the campaign. The Golden Bears have already pulled off one road upset, taking down Auburn as 12-point underdogs two weeks ago. Sophomore quarterback Fernando Mendoza threw for 233 yards and two touchdowns in that win. 

They covered the spread again last week, cruising to a 31-10 win over San Diego State as 19.5-point favorites. Mendoza had another efficient performance, completing 21 of 29 passes for 198 yards and two scores. Sophomore running back Jaivian Thomas rushed for 169 yards on 17 carries, helping Cal cover the spread for the fifth time in its last seven games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Florida State vs. California picks

The model has simulated Cal vs. Florida State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Florida State vs. Cal, and which side of the spread is hitting well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cal vs. Florida State spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.