The Florida Gators (1-1) will host the Texas A&M Aggies (1-1) on Saturday in the SEC opener for both schools. Florida is coming off a 45-7 victory over Samford after beginning its season with a 24-point loss to Miami. Texas A&M blew out McNeese State, 52-10, a week ago, which followed its season-opening defeat to Notre Dame. The all-time series is knotted 3-3, and the teams are also tied 2-2 since A&M joined the SEC in 2012.
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. The Aggies are 3-point favorites in the latest Texas A&M vs. Florida odds, per SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points scored is 45. Before entering any Florida vs. Texas A&M picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 4-0 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Florida vs. Texas A&M. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for Texas A&M vs. Florida:
- Florida vs. Texas A&M spread: Texas A&M -3
- Florida vs. Texas A&M over/under: 45 points
- Florida vs. Texas A&M money line: Texas A&M -156, Florida +130
- Florida vs. Texas A&M picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Florida can cover
You have to go back to Oct. 2021 -- nearly three full years -- to find the last time that Texas A&M won a road game. It has lost 10 straight away contests, which is the longest streak in school history and the second-longest active streak in FBS. The Aggies' struggles in defending the run this season indicate that this streak won't end anytime soon as their 189 rushing yards allowed per game are the second-most in the SEC.
Even with defensive ace Mike Elko as head coach, A&M struggles in containing both running backs and quarterbacks in the ground game. It allowed 198 rushing yards to Notre Dame, including QB Riley Leonard having 63 yards. Then against McNeese State, the Aggies allowed 180 rushing yards. Florida's DJ Lagway was the No. 1 dual-threat QB in his class, so A&M will have its hands full with him as he rotates with expected starter Graham Mertz, not to mention Florida RB Montrell Johnson Jr. who ranks fifth in the SEC with 173 rushing yards. See which team to pick here.
Why Texas A&M can cover
The Aggies get to face a streaking Florida team, and none of those streaks are favorable ones for the home side. The Gators have lost three straight home games versus Power 4 teams and four straight SEC games overall. Additionally, Florida has allowed 39-plus points in five straight conference games, with no signs of that coming to an end considering the defense's inability to limit big plays. Florida is allowing the most passing ypg (264.5) in the SEC, and also giving up the second-most yards per play (5.4) in the conference.
The Aggies offense is coming off a game in which it had 11 plays of 15-plus yards and racked up 333 yards on the ground. Six different Aggies received carries, and all six averaged at least 5.4 ypc. Also, A&M takes care of business against unranked teams as it has won seven straight versus AP-unranked schools. Add in that Florida's 2-6 ATS mark at home since the start of the 2023 season is among the 10 worst in the nation, and there are plenty of reasons to back the Aggies. See which team to pick here.
How to make Florida vs. Texas A&M picks
The model has simulated Texas A&M vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, projecting 52 combined points. It's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. Texas A&M, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas A&M vs. Florida spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
