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The Tulane Green Wave (9-4) will aim for a big upset when they face the Florida Gators (7-5) in the 2024 Gasparilla Bowl on Friday afternoon. Tulane was on track for a spot in the College Football Playoff prior to its loss to Memphis at the end of the regular season, and it was followed by a loss to Army in the AAC Championship. Florida is riding a three-game winning streak and is coming off a 31-11 win at Florida State in a rivalry game. 

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on Friday at Raymond James Stadium. Florida is favored by 11.5 points in the latest Florida vs. Tulane odds, while the over/under is 49.5 points per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Tulane vs. Florida picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it went a profitable 43-34 on all top-rated picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen impressive returns.

The model has set its sights on Tulane vs. Florida. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:

  • Florida vs. Tulane spread: Florida -11.5
  • Florida vs. Tulane over/under: 49.5 points
  • Florida vs. Tulane money line: Florida: -452, Tulane: +344
  • Florida vs. Tulane picks: See picks here
  • Florida vs. Tulane streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Florida can cover

Florida used a late-season surge to generate momentum heading into next season, especially since it is led by a young quarterback. Freshman DJ Lagway led the Gators to wins over LSU, Ole Miss and Florida State. He is 5-1 as a starter and has racked up 1,610 passing yards with 11 touchdowns. 

Lagway has been dealing with a hamstring injury since early November, but he is expected to start in the bowl game. Tulane is in a much worse position, as starting quarterback Darian Mensah entered the transfer portal following the conference championship game. The Gators have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games, while Tulane is 0-5 ATS in its past five games against an opponent from the SEC. See which team to pick here.

Why Tulane can cover

Tulane climbed as high as No. 17 in the College Football Playoff rankings, and Florida could lack motivation against a small-conference team. The Green Wave are rolling out former Oregon five-star signee Ty Thompson as the starting quarterback. He is making his first collegiate start, but he played in 11 games this season as a wildcat option. 

Thompson averaged 6.1 yards on 40 carries and scored six touchdowns while completing 6 of 11 passes for 74 yards and two scores. His limited experience will make it difficult for the Florida coaching staff to prepare for him. Top wide receiver Mario Williams and top rusher Makhi Hughes are both expected to be available, while starting defensive end Matthew Fobbs-White transferred. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Florida vs. Tulane picks

The model has simulated Tulane vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Florida vs. Tulane in the 2024 Gasparilla Bowl, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.