The 2024 Pop-Tarts Bowl will take place on Saturday and it will pit the No. 18 Iowa State Cyclones against the No. 13 Miami Hurricanes in one of the more intriguing non-playoff matchups of the postseason. Both teams are coming down from having their College Football Playoff hopes dashed late in the season, with Miami losing to Syracuse as a 12-point favorite to miss the ACC Championship Game and Iowa State losing to Arizona State in the Big 12 Championship.
Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET at Camping World Stadium in Orlando. After opening as slight underdogs, the Hurricanes are now favored by 3.5 points in the latest Iowa State vs. Miami odds, while the over/under is 60.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Miami vs. Iowa State picks or Pop-Tarts Bowl bets, you'll want to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it went 43-35 on all top-rated picks this season while also nailing all four first-round College Football Playoff winners. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen impressive returns.
The model has set its sights on Iowa State vs. Miami in the Pop-Tarts Bowl 2024. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Miami vs. Iowa State game:
- Miami vs. Iowa State spread: Miami -3.5
- Miami vs. Iowa State over/under: 60.5 points
- Miami vs. Iowa State money line: Miami -183, Iowa State +153
- Miami vs. Iowa State picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Miami vs. Iowa State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Iowa State can cover
After taking the Cyclones to bowl games in his first five seasons, Matt Campbell's squad took a major step back with a 4-8 season in 2022, but climbed back to 7-6 last year and then captured the first 10-win season in the history of the program this year. Iowa State quarterback Rocco Becht threw for 3,235 yards and 22 touchdowns while Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel both eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving.
The Cyclones were strong away from home this season, capturing wins on the road over Iowa, Houston, West Virginia and Utah before an unfortunate letdown in the Big 12 Championship Game. Iowa State has been largely unaffected by opt-outs and the transfer portal and the trio of Becht, Higgins and Noel could pose problems for a Miami pass defense that has given up at least 297 passing yards in five of its last nine games. See which team to pick here.
Why Miami (FL) can cover
Heisman Trophy finalist Cam Ward will be a likely first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, but he's on track to play on Saturday to cap off a historic season. After throwing for nearly 7,000 yards in two years at Washington State, Ward threw for 4,123 yards and 36 touchdowns while also adding four rushing touchdowns and a receiving touchdown.
The Hurricanes have also largely ducked major losses to opt-outs and the transfer portal, though No. 3 receiver Isaiah Horton has left for Alabama. However, Xavier Restrepo (1,000-yard receiver) and Damien Martinez (1,000 scrimmage yard running back) are both expected to be in action on Saturday to help lead a Miami offense that averaged 44.0 points and 538.3 yards per game (first nationally in both categories). See which team to pick here.
How to make Iowa State vs. Miami picks
The model has simulated Miami vs. Iowa State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning under on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Iowa State vs. Miami in the 2024 Pop-Tarts Bowl, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.
