The No. 4 Penn State Nittany Lions will host the Maryland Terrapins in a Big Ten matchup on Saturday. Penn State is 10-1 overall and 5-1 at home, while Maryland is 4-7 overall and 1-3 on the road. Penn State is 43-3-1 all-time against Maryland, including winning three straight contests by an average of 27.7 points.
Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pa. The Nittany Lions are 24.5-point favorites in the latest Penn State vs. Maryland odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 50.5 points. Before entering any Maryland vs. Penn State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a strong 27-17 on all top-rated picks over the past nine weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Maryland vs. Penn State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Penn State vs. Maryland:
- Penn State vs. Maryland spread: Penn State -24.5
- Penn State vs. Maryland over/under: 50.5 points
- Penn State vs. Maryland money line: Penn State: -4000, Maryland: +1430
- Penn State vs. Maryland picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Penn State vs. Maryland streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Maryland can cover
The Terrapins enter on a four-game losing streak, but none of their last three losses were by more than 21 points. That one 21-point loss over the span came on the road against No. 1 Oregon. Maryland lost by 14 points to Rutgers and 16 points to Iowa, so although it isn't exiting victorious, the Terrapins are competing with their opponents. Maryland led Rutgers, 17-14, in the third quarter before allowing the game's final 17 points and was within six points of Iowa in the fourth quarter before allowing the game's final 10 points.
One of Penn State's strengths is its ground attack but Maryland has been effective against the run this season. The Terrapins are allowing 3.9 yards per rush and 135.6 rushing yards per game, which both rank inside the top 50 in college football. Sophomore quarterback MJ Morris was effective in relief of starting quarterback Billy Edwards Jr., who left with injury, as Morris completed 12 of 23 yards for 103 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions against Iowa last week. So if Edwards can't play on Saturday, Morris can also make enough plays to keep Maryland within the spread. See which team to pick here.
Why Penn State can cover
The Nittany Lions have one of the top offenses in college football, ranking sixth in yards per play (6.9) and 14th in yards per game (445.6). Penn State enters on a three-game winning streak, averaging 36.7 ppg over that span, and covered the spread in two of the three wins with victories by 29 and 39 points. Penn State also has a chance of competing for a Big Ten title with a victory depending on the result of Michigan vs. Ohio State. But with the chance of a home playoff game either way, Penn State will want a statement victory to prove to the College Football Playoff committee it's one of the top teams in the nation.
Junior quarterback Drew Allar has six touchdowns (five passing) compared to no interceptions over his last three games as the 6-foot-5 signal-caller has 2,497 passing yards on 9.6 yards per attempt, which ranks second in the Big Ten. Allar has the third-best quarterback rating (171.0) and completion percentage (72.2%) in the conference. The running back tandem of Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton both have more than 600 yards this season. The Nittany Lions offense may be too much for Maryland. See which team to pick here.
How to make Penn State vs. Maryland picks
The model has simulated Maryland vs. Penn State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Penn State vs. Maryland, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Maryland vs. Penn State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.
