The Bowling Green Falcons will take on the South Alabama Jaguars at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. The Falcons are 0-1 after losing to Tennessee in Week 1, while South Alabama is 1-0 after an opening victory against Southern Miss. The Jaguars ended last year second in the West Division of Conference USA, while Bowling Green ended up sixth in the MAC's East Division. This will be the first meeting between these teams since a Bowling Green win in the 2014 Camellia Bowl.
The Jaguars are favored by 14-points in the latest Bowling Green vs. South Alabama odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 48. Before entering any South Alabama vs. Bowling Green picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 2 of the 2021 season on a 63-45 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Bowling Green vs. South Alabama spread: Bowling Green +14
- Bowling Green vs. South Alabama over-under: 48 points
What you need to know about South Alabama
The Jaguars made easy work of the Southern Miss Golden Eagles last Saturday and carried off a 31-7 victory. Quarterback Jake Bentley was efficient through the air and effective on the ground as he completed 77.3 percent of his passes and rushed for a touchdown. A sixth-year senior with his third school, Bentley also threw for two touchdowns while South Alabama's defense had a pick-six for a complete team effort.
The 31 points for the Jaguars is a good sign after the team averaged just 19.9 points per game in 2020. That ranked 113th out of 128 FBS teams and was second-worst in the Sun Belt. While 31 points is promising, South Alabama is just 1-3 all-time against teams in the Mid-American Conference.
What you need to know about Bowling Green
Meanwhile, the night started off rough for Bowling Green last Thursday, and it ended that way, too. The Falcons ended up on the wrong side of a painful 38-6 walloping at the Tennessee Volunteers' hands. Bowling Green was down 28-6 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too much to recover from. QB Matt McDonald had a pretty forgettable game, passing for only 187 yards on 38 attempts.
The Week 1 loss looked like a continuation of last year when Bowling Green went 0-5 during its abbreviated schedule. The Falcons ranked second-worst in the nation in both points per game (11.4) and points allowed per game (45.0). Bowling Green will enter Saturday's game on a nine-game losing streak with an average margin of defeat of 35.2 points.
How to make South Alabama vs. Bowling Green picks
The model has simulated Bowling Green vs. South Alabama 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also shows one side of the spread has all of the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bowling Green vs. South Alabama? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks.