The No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers (7-1) will try to stay on track for a spot in the College Football Playoff when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-7) on Saturday night. Tennessee has won three straight games since its upset loss at Arkansas, including a 28-18 win over Kentucky last week. Mississippi State snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 45-20 win over UMass last week, but it is still seeking its first major-conference win of the season. The Bulldogs are sitting alone in last place in the SEC standings, while the Vols are one of five teams with one conference loss atop the standings.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on Saturday at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee is favored by 24.5 points in the latest Tennessee vs. Mississippi State odds, while the over/under is 62 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Mississippi State vs. Tennessee picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Mississippi State vs. Tennessee. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:
- Tennessee vs. Mississippi State spread: Tennessee -24.5
- Tennessee vs. Mississippi State over/under: 62 points
- Tennessee vs. Mississippi State money line: Tennessee -3030, Mississippi State +1246
- Tennessee vs. Mississippi State picks: See picks here
- Tennessee vs. Mississippi State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Tennessee can cover
Tennessee debuted at No. 7 in the College Football Playoff rankings on Tuesday, so the Vols are in position to make the field with continued success. The Vols are coming off a 28-18 win over Kentucky, as star running back Dylan Sampson had 142 yards and two touchdowns. He set the program's single-season school record for rushing touchdowns with 19, breaking a record that had been held by Gene McIver for 95 years.
Sampson needs just 20 rushing yards to reach the 1,000-yard mark for the season and 19 to reach the 2,000-yard mark for his career. His success has taken pressure off redshirt freshman quarterback Nico Iamaleava, who has 1,705 passing yards and nine touchdowns. The Vols are also backed up by an elite defense that is giving up just 12.4 points per game. See which team to pick here.
Why Mississippi State can cover
Mississippi State is coming off its first win since August, injecting some much needed positive into the program. The Bulldogs covered the spread as 19-point favorites in that win, as freshman quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr. accounted for three touchdowns. He completed 14 of 25 passes for 222 yards while rushing for 14 yards.
Junior running back Johnnie Daniels had a season-high 92 rushing yards and a touchdown on just six carries, averaging 15.3 yards per attempt. Junior wide receiver Jordan Mosley cracked the 100-yard mark for the second time this season, catching four passes for 107 yards. Tennessee has a massive game against Georgia looming next week, putting the Vols in a potential look-ahead spot. See which team to pick here.
How to make Tennessee vs. Mississippi State picks
The model has simulated Mississippi State vs. Tennessee 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Tennessee vs. Mississippi State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mississippi State vs. Tennessee spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
