Troy vs. James Madison prediction, odds: 2025 Sun Belt Championship Game picks by proven model

The Troy Trojans will battle the James Madison Dukes in Friday's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. Troy is coming off a 28-18 win over Southern Mississippi, while James Madison downed Coastal Carolina 59-10 in games last Saturday. The Trojans (8-4, 6-2 Sun Belt West), who have won two in a row, are looking to earn their league-high ninth championship. The Dukes (11-1, 8-0 Sun Belt East), who have won 10 in a row, are looking for their first Sun Belt crown.

Kickoff from Bridgeforth Stadium in Harrisonburg, Va., is at 7 p.m. ET. The all-time series is tied 1-1, with James Madison winning the last matchup 16-14 in 2023. The Dukes are 23.5-point favorites in the latest Troy vs. James Madison odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Troy vs. James Madison picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. Anybody following those college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Troy vs. James Madison. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for James Madison vs. Troy:

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How to make Troy vs. James Madison picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Troy vs. JMU and is going Over on the total (47.5), projecting 54 combined points. The Dukes have gone over the total in five of their last six games. James Madison is 6-4 against the spread over the past 10 games, while Troy is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

The model has Troy quarterback Tucker Kilcrease throwing for more than 210 yards and two touchdowns, while James Madison quarterback Alonza Barnett III finds the end zone three times, while throwing for more than 240 yards. The teams combine for 55 points as the Over clears in well over 60% of simulations.

SportsLine's advanced model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.  

So who wins JMU vs. Troy, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the James Madison vs. Troy spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's up on its top-ranked money-line and total picks, and find out.