It's easy to fall victim to "prospect hugging" in Dynasty leagues, so prioritizing the long-term that you forget the short-term. But the ultimate goal is, of course, to win a championship, and to achieve that goal, established players may be of some value to you.

So how do you weigh those two competing factors? That's what I'm looking to demonstrate here and to do so, I'll need to rope in a third factor: confidence. Just as important as how good a player should be or could be is how certain I am of it. To develop these rankings, I've assigned each player a score (with one being the lowest and five the highest) for each of these three factors:

  1. Present value: What a player is expected to be in 2025
  2. Future value: What his peak looks like and how much peak he has left
  3. Confidence rating: How confident I am in him meeting his present and future value

Add the three numbers, adjust for age and preference, and lo and behold, rankings.

No ad available

Of course, the precise value of a player to you in Dynasty largely depends on where you are in the contention/rebuild cycle, to the extent you believe in such things, so even if you can't see yourself drafting in strict adherence to this list, it might have value to you as a trade guide. In fact, I'd say that's its primary use in longstanding Dynasty leagues.

Top 150 for dynasty leagues
RankPlayerAge (on 7/1)PresentFutureConfidence
1
Bobby Witt KC SS
255 5 5
2
Juan Soto NYM LF
26 5 5 5
3
Shohei Ohtani LAD DH
30
 5 4
5
4
Gunnar Henderson BAL 3B
245 5 4
5
Corbin Carroll ARI LF
245
54
6
Kyle Tucker CHC RF
285
54
7
Elly De La Cruz CIN SS
235
53
8
Julio Rodriguez SEA CF
245
5
3
9
Fernando Tatis SD RF
26
 5 5
3
10
Ronald Acuna ATL RF
27
55
3
11
Vladimir Guerrero TOR 1B
26
5
5
3
12
Paul Skenes PIT P
23
 5 5
3
13
Jackson Chourio MIL CF
214
 5 4
14
Jackson Merrill SD SS
22
4
5
4
15
Aaron Judge NYY RF
33
5
3
5
16
Yordan Alvarez HOU DH
285
4
4
17
Tarik Skubal DET SP
285
4
4
18
Jose Ramirez CLE 3B
32
5
3
5
19
Mookie Betts LAD RF
325
35
20
Rafael Devers BOS 3B
28
4
4
5
21
Austin Riley ATL 3B
28
4
4
5
22
Francisco Lindor NYM SS
31
5
3
4
23
Jarren Duran BOS CF
284
4
4
24
William Contreras MIL C
27
44
4
25
Trea Turner PHI SS
32
4
3
4
26
Bryce Harper PHI DH
32
43
4
27
Jazz Chisholm NYY CF
27
4
4
3
28
Corbin Burnes ARI SP
30
4
3
4
29
Logan Gilbert SEA SP
284
4
3
30
Cole Ragans KC RP
274
4
3
31
James Wood WAS OF
223
5
3
32
Corey Seager TEX SS
31
4
3
4
33
Manny Machado SD 3B
32
 4 3
4
34
Matt Olson ATL 1B
31
 4 3
4
35
Pete Alonso NYM 1B
30
43
4
36
Ozzie Albies ATL 2B
28443
37
Garrett Crochet BOS RP
2645
2
38
George Kirby SEA SP
274
4
3
39
Adley Rutschman BAL C
273
4
4
40
Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD P
264
5
2
41
C.J. Abrams WAS SS
243
4
3
42
Michael Harris ATL CF
2434
3
43
Wyatt Langford TEX OF
2335
2
44
Junior Caminero TB 3B
2135
2
45
Roman Anthony BOS OF
211
54
46
Dylan Crews WAS CF
23
3
5
2
47
Oneil Cruz PIT SS
26
3
5
2
48
Ketel Marte ARI 2B
3143
3
49
Dylan Cease SD SP
29
44
2
50
Spencer Strider ATL SP
263
5
2
51
Emmanuel Clase CLE RP
273
3
4
52
Zack Wheeler PHI SP
35
5
1
4
53
Freddie Freeman LAD 1B
35
4
1
5
54
Grayson Rodriguez BAL SP
25
3
4
3
55
Bo Bichette TOR SS
27
4
4
2
56
Kyle Schwarber PHI LF
32
4
2
4
57
Framber Valdez HOU SP
314
2
4
58
Michael King SD RP
3043
3
59
Matt Shaw CHC SS
23
2
5
2
60
Jasson Dominguez NYY CF
222
5
2
61
Kristian Campbell BOS 2B
23
1
5
3
62
Travis Bazzana CLE 2B
22
1
5
3
63
Lawrence Butler ATH CF
243
5
1
64
Luis Robert CHW CF
274
4
1
65
Yainer Diaz HOU C
2634
2
66
Jordan Westburg BAL 2B
263
42
67
Willy Adames SF SS
293
3
3
68
Josh Naylor CLE 1B
28
3
4
2
69
Royce Lewis MIN 3B
26
3
4
2
70
Anthony Santander BAL RF
303
3
3
71
Devin Williams NYY RP
30
3
3
3
72
Will Smith LAD C
30
3
2
4
73
Cal Raleigh SEA C
28
3
3
3
74
Logan Webb SF SP
28
3
33
75
Bryce Miller SEA SP
263
4
2
76
Hunter Greene CIN SP
25
34
2
77
Riley Greene DET CF
2434
2
78
Matt McLain CIN SS
2434
2
79
Triston Casas BOS 1B
2534
2
80
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC CF
23
2
4
3
81
Jordan Lawlar ARI SS
22
2
4
3
82
Andrew Painter PHI P
222
5
2
83
Jackson Jobe DET P
222
5
2
84
Coby Mayo BAL 3B
232
5
2
85
Jose Altuve HOU 2B
354
1
4
86
Chris Sale ATL SP
36
5
1
3
87
Marcus Semien TEX 2B
34
4
2
3
88
Marcell Ozuna ATL DH
34
4
2
3
89
Blake Snell LAD SP
32
4
3
 2
90
Gerrit Cole NYY SP
34
4
2
3
91
Luis Garcia WAS 2B
2534
2
92
Vinnie Pasquantino KC 1B
273
4
2
93
Pablo Lopez MIN SP
29
3
3
3
94
Shota Imanaga CHC RP
314
3
2
95
Tyler Glasnow LAD SP
31
4
3
2
96
Alex Bregman HOU 3B
313
2
4
97
Aaron Nola PHI SP
32
3
2
4
98
Max Fried NYY SP
31
3
2
4
99
Walker Jenkins MIN RF
201
5
2
100
Jackson Holliday BAL SS
21
152
101
Noah Schultz CHW SP
211
5
2
102
Bubba Chandler PIT P
222
5
1
103
Spencer Schwellenbach ATL P
253
4
1
104
Zachary Neto LAA SS
243
41
105
Nick Kurtz ATH 1B
22
1
5
2
106
Marcelo Mayer BOS SS
22
1
4
3
107
JJ Wetherholt STL SS
22
1
5
2
108
Brent Rooker ATH DH
30
4
3
1
109
Brenton Doyle COL CF
27
34
1
110
Spencer Steer CIN 1B
27
33
2
111
Mason Miller ATH SP
263
4
1
112
Hunter Brown HOU SP
263
3
2
113
Cody Bellinger NYY CF
29
33
2
114
Justin Steele CHC SP
29
3
3
2
115
Zac Gallen ARI SP
29
3
3
2
116
Mark Vientos NYM DH
252
42
117
Xavier Edwards MIA 2B
252
42
118
Bryan Woo SEA SP
25
3
4
1
119
Tanner Bibee CLE SP
26
3
3
2
120
Jared Jones PIT SP
232
42
121
Quinn Mathews STL SP
242
5
1
122
Samuel Basallo BAL C
201
5
2
123
Charlie Condon COL RF
221
5
 2
124
Emmanuel Rodriguez MIN CF
2215 2
125
Colt Emerson SEA SS
19
1
5
2
126
Leo De Vries SD SS
18
1
5
2
127
Christian Yelich MIL LF
33
4
2
2
128
Teoscar Hernandez LAD RF
32
3
2
3
129
Bailey Ober MIN SP
29
33
2
130
Bryan Reynolds PIT LF
30
32
3
131
Seiya Suzuki CHC RF
30
3
2
3
132
Josh Hader HOU RP
31
3
2
3
133
Edwin Diaz NYM RP
313
2
3
134
Evan Carter TEX LF
222
4
2
135
Chase Burns CIN SP
221
5
2
136
Hagen Smith CHW SP
21
1
5
2
137
Sebastian Walcott TEX SS
19
1
5
2
138
Jesus Made MIL SS
18
1
5
2
139
Ian Happ CHC LF
30
3
2
3
140
Joe Ryan MIN SP
293
3
2
141
Freddy Peralta MIL SP
293
3
2
142
Shane McClanahan TB SP
283
41
143
Kumar Rocker TEX P
25
2
4
2
144
Brandon Sproat NYM SP
242
42
145
Bryce Eldridge SF SP
201
5
1
146
Jac Caglianone KC 1B
221
5
1
147
Jordan Walker STL RF
232
4
1
148
Steven Kwan CLE LF
2722
3
149
Alec Bohm PHI 3B
282
2
3
150
Nico Hoerner CHC 2B
282
3
2