"Every injury is 6-8 weeks."
It's a line I use sometimes on the Fantasy Baseball Today podcast when I'm feeling particularly glib, and of course, it's not literally true. But there's enough truth to it for me to point out that we're inside of eight weeks to go. So if every injury is 6-8 weeks, then every injury from this point forward has the potential to be a season-ender.
It makes you think twice about how you allocate your IL spots. Fortunately, the dwindling schedule has brought clarity to some long-term IL stashes like Mike Trout and Evan Carter, who have now officially been ruled out. Kodai Senga technically came off the IL but wound up going right back on with an injury (strained calf) that, at this late stage, is effectively a season-ender. And then there are those pitchers -- Jesus Luzardo, for instance -- who aren't officially out for the year but won't have enough ramp-up time to return to a starting role, their teams have said. No sense in stashing them.
So yes, some potential IL stashes have removed themselves from the discussion, allowing me to rank only 45 this time instead of the usual 50. But what about those who just got hurt and don't have clear timetables yet, like Grayson Rodriguez and Max Scherzer? What about those who've already been sidelined for some time but are still only in the early stages of rehab, like Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Bo Bichette? What kind of priority are they?
I'll admit that the later we get into the season, the more a player's timeline matters. An extra week or two obviously has a bigger impact now than it did in May. But there's enough time remaining that I think impact -- i.e., how good a player is -- still takes top priority.
This is only true up to a point, of course. Ozzie Albies (fractured wrist) and Jordan Westburg (fractured hand) won't be back until the last two weeks of the season, if even that, so you'll see they don't rank so high here, despite being impact players. But Yamamoto could still return with a month to go. Scherzer may miss only the minimum 15 days. Such outlooks are optimistic, but as long as they're still rational, I'm willing to hold out hope.
Why? Because they could actually be the difference between winning and losing. Sure, I could devote the IL spot to a lesser player with a nearer return, like Thairo Estrada or Lance Lynn, but what am I going to do with him when he's back? Plant him on my bench? Drop him, even? It hardly seems worth the trouble.
Of course, your interpretation of an impact player and a bench-warmer will vary depending on the depth your league. The deeper the league, the more an Estrada or Lynn matters. So I should clarify that, as is generally the case, I've tailored this list for a 12-team league.
1 |
Mookie Betts
Los Angeles Dodgers SS
|
fractured wrist - should begin rehab assignment this week with an eye on returning next week | |
2 |
Kyle Tucker
Houston Astros RF
|
bruised shin - seems likely to return before September, but he's already missed longer than anyone expected | |
3 |
Fernando Tatis
San Diego Padres RF
|
femoral stress reaction - uncommon baseball injury with unclear timeline, but team remains optimistic | |
4 |
Julio Rodriguez
Seattle Mariners CF
|
high ankle sprain - doing some linear running but has to master changing directions before return | |
5 |
Riley Greene
Detroit Tigers LF
|
strained hamstring - has taken batting practice but hasn't resumed running yet, still a week or two away | |
6 |
Christian Walker
Arizona Diamondbacks 1B
|
strained oblique - about a week into what was billed as a three-week timetable | |
7 |
Michael Harris
Atlanta Braves CF
|
strained hamstring - began rehab assignment Tuesday, is confident he'll return when eligible Aug. 14 | |
8 |
Tyler O'Neill
Boston Red Sox LF
|
infection in leg - should be ready when first eligible next week | |
9 |
Ranger Suarez
Philadelphia Phillies SP
|
back soreness - threw bullpen session Monday, likely to return next week | |
10 |
Christian Yelich
Milwaukee Brewers LF
|
strained back - may need offseason surgery but will try to gut it out this year; no clear timetable | |
11 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Los Angeles Dodgers SP
|
strained rotator cuff - completed first bullpen session Saturday, perhaps a month from returning | |
12 |
Jared Jones
Pittsburgh Pirates SP
|
strained lat - expected to begin rehab assignment soon with eye on late-August return | |
13 |
Triston Casas
Boston Red Sox 1B
|
cartilage tear in rib - on rehab assignment, which figures to be extensive given length of absence | |
14 |
Carlos Correa
Minnesota Twins SS
|
plantar fasciitis - able to jog and field but will need to sprint without pain before returning | |
15 |
Grayson Rodriguez
Baltimore Orioles SP
|
lat strain - mild case, offering hope for a relatively quick return |
16 |
Ryan Pepiot
Tampa Bay Rays SP
|
knee infection - scheduled for three-inning sim game this week, could be activated thereafter | |
17 |
Merrill Kelly
Arizona Diamondbacks SP
|
strained shoulder - scheduled to throw four innings Tuesday in what might be only rehab start | |
18 |
Reynaldo Lopez
Atlanta Braves SP
|
forearm inflammation - no structural damage, seems mostly like a chance to build in some rest | |
19 |
Justin Verlander
Houston Astros SP
|
neck discomfort - threw two-inning sim game Sunday, will begin rehab assignment this weekend | |
20 |
Max Scherzer
Texas Rangers SP
|
arm fatigue - performed reasonably well pitching through issue, eligible to return Aug. 15 | |
21 |
Max Muncy
Los Angeles Dodgers 3B
|
strained oblique - scheduled for simulated game Thursday, will need lengthy rehab assignment thereafter | |
22 |
Joe Musgrove
San Diego Padres SP
|
bone spur in elbow - returning this weekend after just one rehab start, still pitching with bone spur | |
23 |
Bo Bichette
Toronto Blue Jays SS
|
strained calf - hasn't resumed baseball activities, still another week before rehab plan mapped out | |
24 |
Reese Olson
Detroit Tigers SP
|
strained shoulder - no structural damage but no word of him beginning throwing program yet | |
25 |
Nolan Jones
Colorado Rockies LF
|
strained back - well into rehab assignment, but hard to muster enthusiasm given production when healthy | |
26 |
Tommy Edman
Los Angeles Dodgers 2B
|
wrist surgery - set to resume rehab assignment this weekend, will need a few weeks to get timing down |
27 |
Ozzie Albies
Atlanta Braves 2B
|
fractured wrist - was given an eight-week timetable July 22, so likely out until mid-September | |
28 |
Jordan Westburg
Baltimore Orioles 3B
|
fractured hand - no official timetable but unlikely to return with more than a week or two remaining | |
29 |
Jacob deGrom
Texas Rangers SP
|
Tommy John surgery - has built up enough to face live hitters, but still not clear he has enough time | |
30 |
Matt McLain
Cincinnati Reds SS
|
shoulder surgery - was hoping to begin rehab assignment Aug. 12 but now has stress reaction in rib cage | |
31 |
Starling Marte
New York Mets RF
|
bone bruise in knee - has begun rehab assignment but likely won't play every day when he returns | |
32 |
Kerry Carpenter
Detroit Tigers RF
|
stress fracture in back - began rehab assignment Tuesday, could return within a couple weeks | |
33 |
Thairo Estrada
San Francisco Giants 2B
|
sprained wrist - recurrence of injury that sidelined him 11 days previously, has begun hitting | |
34 |
Alex Cobb
Cleveland Guardians SP
|
shoulder irritation - has looked good in seven rehab starts, set to return this weekend | |
35 |
Gabriel Moreno
Arizona Diamondbacks C
|
strained groin - no timetable offered yet; was hot prior to injury, renewing Fantasy appeal | |
36 |
Walker Buehler
Los Angeles Dodgers SP
|
hip inflammation - struggled through two rehab starts; Dodgers seem in no hurry to bring him back |
37 |
Jordan Romano
Toronto Blue Jays RP
|
elbow impingement - nearing end of six-week recovery from surgery, but no timetable for return | |
38 |
Anthony Rizzo
New York Yankees 1B
|
fractured forearm - has resumed hitting and fielding, will likely need multi-week rehab assignment | |
39 |
Jacob Wilson
Oakland Athletics SS
|
strained hamstring - has resumed batting practice but still several weeks from returning | |
40 |
Nick Gonzales
Pittsburgh Pirates 2B
|
strained groin - scheduled for rehab assingment next week, though unclear if he's resumed running yet | |
41 |
Clarke Schmidt
New York Yankees SP
|
strained lat - set to face live hitters this week but will spend most of August building back up | |
42 |
Ryan Weathers
Miami Marlins SP
|
strained finger - nearing bullpen sessions after throwing off flat ground, won't be back before September | |
43 |
Jon Gray
Texas Rangers SP
|
strained groin - about a week into what was initially ruled to be a one-month timetable | |
44 |
Lance Lynn
St. Louis Cardinals SP
|
knee inflammation - no structural damage, could return after the minimum 15 days | |
45 |
Heston Kjerstad
Baltimore Orioles LF
|
concussion - was facing demotion even before word of the injury, but at least he's more stashable now |