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Even a month into the season, it's a challenge separating the meaningful from the meaningless in a way that feels like more than guesswork. Sure, you'll find clues as to what is or isn't legit, but there's danger in overreacting, more so than in exercising just a little more patience.
Still, there comes a point when you have to relent on those developments that are so slap-you-in-the-face-obvious, and Cody Bellinger is turning out to be one of those.
Between cutting his strikeout rate in half and nearly doubling his line-drive rate, he has become much more than the pure slugger we saw during his first two years in the majors. And for as ridiculous as his numbers are so far, his quality of contact gives him an expected wOBA (.556) more or less in line with his actual wOBA (.566). If we were redrafting today, he'd be a slam-dunk first-rounder, not to mention the No. 1 first baseman off the board, and it's high time the Trade Chart reflected it.
And so this latest version of my top 250 for 5x5 Rotisserie leagues does. Other notables climbing the ranks are Luke Voit, who finally brought his numbers in line with his impressive batted ball profile during a huge Week 5 (April 22-28); Joe Musgrove, who has paired a swing-and-miss secondary arsenal with elite control to become a quality start machine; and Alex Verdugo, an impressive rookie who could be in line for close to full-time duty with A.J. Pollock sidelined by an elbow infection.
Some ground rules before you start trying out trade scenarios:
- These values are tailored for standard 5x5 Rotisserie leagues, meaning 12 teams and 29-man rosters. The low-dollar players would be worth more in a deeper league, and the mid-dollar players would be worth less in a shallower league.
- These values are intended only for 1-for-1 and 2-for-1 trades. Get into 3-for-1 or, heaven forbid, 4-for-1, and the impending roster crunch makes it near impossible to justify giving up the superior player (unless, of course, it's an obvious overpay).
- These values are more of a rough guideline. In theory, if two players add up to more than some other player, you'll take the two over the one, but not every possible scenario has been vetted. And particularly with the lower-value players, perceptions are changing constantly. When in doubt, you'll want to stick with the better player.
Let's dig in.
Rank | Player | Position | Value |
1 | Mike Trout, LAA | OF | 53 |
2 | Mookie Betts, BOS | OF | 51 |
3 | J.D. Martinez, BOS | OF | 47 |
4 | Christian Yelich, MIL | OF | 47 |
5 | Nolan Arenado, COL | 3B | 46 |
6 | Max Scherzer, WAS | SP | 45 |
7 | Cody Bellinger, LAD | 1B/OF | 45 |
8 | Alex Bregman, HOU | 3B/SS | 41 |
9 | Jose Altuve, HOU | 2B | 41 |
10 | Justin Verlander, HOU | SP | 41 |
11 | Jose Ramirez, CLE | 3B | 40 |
12 | Bryce Harper, PHI | OF | 39 |
13 | Paul Goldschmidt, STL | 1B | 39 |
14 | Jacob deGrom, NYM | SP | 39 |
15 | Manny Machado, SD | 3B/SS | 38 |
16 | Ronald Acuna, ATL | OF | 38 |
17 | Trevor Bauer, CLE | SP | 37 |
18 | Blake Snell, TB | SP | 37 |
19 | Gerrit Cole, HOU | SP | 37 |
20 | Freddie Freeman, ATL | 1B | 37 |
21 | Francisco Lindor, CLE | SS | 37 |
22 | Trevor Story, COL | SS | 37 |
23 | Corey Kluber, CLE | SP | 36 |
24 | Anthony Rendon, WAS | 3B | 35 |
25 | Anthony Rizzo, CHC | 1B | 35 |
26 | Charlie Blackmon, COL | OF | 34 |
27 | Aaron Nola, PHI | SP | 34 |
28 | Chris Sale, BOS | SP | 34 |
29 | Javier Baez, CHC | 2B/3B/SS | 33 |
30 | Noah Syndergaard, NYM | SP | 32 |
31 | Patrick Corbin, WAS | SP | 32 |
32 | Giancarlo Stanton, NYY | OF | 31 |
33 | Trea Turner, WAS | SS | 31 |
34 | Juan Soto, WAS | OF | 31 |
35 | Andrew Benintendi, BOS | OF | 30 |
36 | Whit Merrifield, KC | 2B/OF | 30 |
37 | Rhys Hoskins, PHI | 1B/OF | 30 |
38 | J.T. Realmuto, PHI | C | 29 |
39 | Carlos Carrasco, CLE | SP | 29 |
40 | Zack Greinke, ARI | SP | 29 |
41 | Stephen Strasburg, WAS | SP | 29 |
42 | Adalberto Mondesi, KC | SS | 29 |
43 | Kris Bryant, CHC | 3B/OF | 28 |
44 | Gary Sanchez, NYY | C | 28 |
45 | Khris Davis, OAK | DH | 28 |
46 | James Paxton, NYY | SP | 28 |
47 | Clayton Kershaw, LAD | SP | 28 |
48 | Carlos Correa, HOU | SS | 27 |
49 | Pete Alonso, NYM | 1B | 26 |
50 | German Marquez, COL | SP | 26 |
51 | George Springer, HOU | OF | 25 |
52 | Matt Chapman, OAK | 3B | 24 |
53 | Edwin Diaz, NYM | RP | 24 |
54 | Xander Bogaerts, BOS | SS | 23 |
55 | Tommy Pham, TB | OF | 23 |
56 | Joey Gallo, TEX | 1B/OF | 23 |
57 | Ozzie Albies, ATL | 2B | 23 |
58 | Corey Seager, LAD | SS | 22 |
59 | Jose Berrios, MIN | SP | 22 |
60 | Kenley Jansen, LAD | RP | 22 |
61 | Aroldis Chapman, NYY | RP | 21 |
62 | Blake Treinen, OAK | RP | 21 |
63 | Luis Castillo, CIN | SP | 21 |
64 | Tyler Glasnow, TB | SP/RP | 21 |
65 | Vladimir Guerrero, TOR | 3B | 19 |
66 | Joey Votto, CIN | 1B | 18 |
67 | Jose Abreu, CHW | 1B | 18 |
68 | Walker Buehler, LAD | SP | 18 |
69 | David Price, BOS | SP | 17 |
70 | Yasmani Grandal, MIL | C | 17 |
71 | Willson Contreras, CHC | C | 17 |
72 | Daniel Murphy, COL | 1B/2B | 16 |
73 | Eddie Rosario, MIN | OF | 16 |
74 | Dee Gordon, SEA | 2B/OF | 16 |
75 | Lorenzo Cain, MIL | OF | 16 |
76 | Matt Carpenter, STL | 1B/3B | 16 |
77 | Eugenio Suarez, STL | 3B | 16 |
78 | Yoan Moncada, CHW | 2B/3B | 16 |
79 | Aaron Judge, NYY | OF | 15 |
80 | Fernando Tatis, SD | SS | 15 |
81 | Starling Marte, PIT | OF | 15 |
82 | Michael Conforto, NYM | OF | 14 |
83 | Mitch Haniger, SEA | OF | 14 |
84 | Marcell Ozuna, STL | OF | 14 |
85 | Jack Flaherty, STL | SP | 13 |
86 | Justin Turner, LAD | 3B | 13 |
87 | Wilson Ramos, NYM | C | 13 |
88 | Domingo Santana, SEA | OF | 13 |
89 | Chris Archer, PIT | SP | 12 |
90 | Jameson Taillon, PIT | SP | 12 |
91 | Sean Doolittle, WAS | RP | 12 |
92 | Kirby Yates, SD | RP | 12 |
93 | Brad Hand, CLE | RP | 12 |
94 | Roberto Osuna, HOU | RP | 12 |
95 | Felipe Vazquez, PIT | RP | 12 |
96 | Josh Donaldson, ATL | 3B | 11 |
97 | Wil Myers, SD | 3B/OF | 11 |
98 | Michael Brantley, HOU | OF | 11 |
99 | Madison Bumgarner, SF | SP | 11 |
100 | Zack Wheeler, NYM | SP | 11 |
101 | Shane Bieber, CLE | SP | 11 |
102 | Edwin Encarnacion, SEA | 1B | 11 |
103 | Nelson Cruz, MIN | DH | 11 |
104 | Josh Hader, MIL | RP | 11 |
105 | Luke Voit, NYY | 1B | 11 |
106 | Jonathan Villar, BAL | 2B/SS | 11 |
107 | Mike Foltynewicz, ATL | SP | 10 |
108 | Masahiro Tanaka, NYY | SP | 10 |
109 | Cole Hamels, CHC | SP | 10 |
110 | Charlie Morton, TB | SP | 10 |
111 | Joe Musgrove, PIT | SP | 10 |
112 | Matthew Boyd, DET | SP | 10 |
113 | Max Muncy, LAD | 1B/2B/3B | 10 |
114 | Elvis Andrus, TEX | SS | 10 |
115 | David Dahl, COL | OF | 9 |
116 | Yandy Diaz, TB | 1B/3B | 9 |
117 | Mike Moustakas, MIL | 2B/3B | 9 |
118 | Austin Meadows, TB | OF | 9 |
119 | Gleyber Torres, NYY | 2B/SS | 9 |
120 | Paul DeJong, STL | SS | 9 |
121 | Jean Segura, PHI | SS | 9 |
122 | Wade Davis, COL | RP | 9 |
123 | Jon Gray, COL | SP | 8 |
124 | Collin McHugh, HOU | SP/RP | 8 |
125 | Mike Clevinger, CLE | SP | 8 |
126 | Luis Severino, NYY | SP | 8 |
127 | A.J. Pollock, LAD | OF | 8 |
128 | Nicholas Castellanos, DET | OF | 8 |
129 | Victor Robles, WAS | OF | 8 |
130 | Andrew McCutchen, PHI | OF | 8 |
131 | Yu Darvish, CHC | SP | 7 |
132 | Jose Quintana, CHC | SP | 7 |
133 | Daniel Vogelbach, SEA | 1B | 7 |
134 | Josh Bell, PIT | 1B | 7 |
135 | Domingo German, NYY | SP | 7 |
136 | Caleb Smith, MIA | SP | 7 |
137 | Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD | SP | 7 |
138 | Miles Mikolas, STL | SP | 7 |
139 | Greg Holland, ARI | RP | 7 |
140 | Jordan Hicks, STL | RP | 7 |
141 | Ken Giles, TOR | RP | 7 |
142 | Raisel Iglesias, CIN | RP | 7 |
143 | David Peralta, ARI | OF | 7 |
144 | Ryan McMahon, COL | 1B/2B | 6 |
145 | Yadier Molina, STL | C | 6 |
146 | Robinson Cano, NYM | 2B | 6 |
147 | Yasiel Puig, CIN | OF | 6 |
148 | Travis Shaw, MIL | 2B/3B | 6 |
149 | Miguel Andujar, NYY | 3B | 6 |
150 | Jose Leclerc TEX | RP | 6 |
151 | Carlos Santana, CLE | 1B | 6 |
152 | Trey Mancini, BAL | 1B/OF | 6 |
153 | Billy Hamilton, KC | OF | 6 |
154 | Matt Olson, OAK | 1B | 6 |
155 | Tim Anderson, CHW | SS | 6 |
156 | Chris Paddack, SD | SP | 5 |
157 | Marcus Stroman, TOR | SP | 5 |
158 | Buster Posey, SF | C | 5 |
159 | Omar Narvaez, SEA | C | 5 |
160 | Marcus Semien, OAK | SS | 5 |
161 | Brandon Lowe, TB | 2B | 5 |
162 | Christian Walker, ARI | 1B | 5 |
163 | Jorge Polanco, MIN | SS | 5 |
164 | Eloy Jimenez, CHW | OF | 4 |
165 | Jesse Winker, CIN | OF | 4 |
166 | Gregory Polanco, PIT | OF | 4 |
167 | Mike Minor, TEX | SP | 4 |
168 | J.A. Happ, NYY | SP | 4 |
169 | Aaron Hicks, NYY | OF | 4 |
170 | Robbie Ray, ARI | SP | 3 |
171 | Rich Hill, LAD | SP | 3 |
172 | Kenta Maeda, LAD | SP/RP | 3 |
173 | Craig Kimbrel, FA | RP | 3 |
174 | Marco Gonzales, SEA | SP | 3 |
175 | Jesus Aguilar, MIL | 1B | 3 |
176 | Hunter Dozier, KC | 1B/3B | 3 |
177 | Ryan Brasier, BOS | RP | 3 |
178 | Shane Greene, DET | RP | 3 |
179 | Will Smith, SF | RP | 3 |
180 | Jurickson Profar, OAK | 1B/2B/3B/SS | 3 |
181 | Enrique Hernandez, LAD | 2B/SS/OF | 3 |
182 | Brian Dozier, WAS | 2B | 3 |
183 | Stephen Piscotty, OAK | OF | 3 |
184 | Clint Frazier, NYY | OF | 3 |
185 | Maikel Franco, PHI | 3B | 3 |
186 | Rafael Devers, BOS | 3B | 3 |
187 | Byron Buxton, MIN | OF | 3 |
188 | Justin Smoak, TOR | 1B | 3 |
189 | Joc Pederson, LAD | OF | 3 |
190 | Alex Verdugo, LAD | OF | 3 |
191 | Franmil Reyes, SD | OF | 3 |
192 | Dansby Swanson, ATL | SS | 3 |
193 | Carter Kieboom, WAS | SS | 3 |
194 | Brad Peacock, HOU | RP | 3 |
195 | Cody Allen, LAA | RP | 3 |
196 | Alex Colome, CHW | RP | 3 |
197 | Pedro Strop, CHC | RP | 3 |
198 | Hector Neris, PHI | RP | 3 |
199 | Blake Parker, MIN | RP | 3 |
200 | Sonny Gray, CIN | SP | 3 |
201 | Adam Jones, ARI | OF | 3 |
202 | Nomar Mazara, TEX | OF | 3 |
203 | Nate Lowe, TB | 1B | 2 |
204 | Jay Bruce, SEA | 1B/OF | 2 |
205 | Jason Heyward, CHC | OF | 2 |
206 | Rougned Odor, TEX | 2B | 2 |
207 | Ketel Marte, ARI | 2B/SS/OF | 2 |
208 | Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS | SP | 2 |
209 | Jose Peraza, CIN | 2B/SS | 2 |
210 | Asdrubal Cabrera, TEX | 2B/3B/SS | 2 |
211 | Trevor Richards, MIA | SP | 2 |
212 | Kevin Gausman, ATL | SP | 2 |
213 | Kyle Hendricks, CHC | SP | 2 |
214 | Rick Porcello, BOS | SP | 2 |
215 | Jon Lester, CHC | SP | 2 |
216 | Max Fried, ATL | SP | 2 |
217 | Mike Soroka, ATL | SP | 2 |
218 | Max Kepler. MIN | OF | 2 |
219 | Adam Eaton, WAS | OF | 2 |
220 | Miguel Cabrera, DET | 1B | 2 |
221 | Alex Gordon, KC | OF | 2 |
222 | Shin-Soo Choo, TEX | OF | 2 |
223 | Yusei Kikuchi, SEA | SP | 1 |
224 | Kyle Freeland, COL | SP | 1 |
225 | Jonathan Schoop, MIN | 2B | 1 |
226 | Michael Chavis, BOS | 2B/3B | 1 |
227 | Carlos Rodon, CHW | SP | 1 |
228 | Pablo Lopez, MIA | SP | 1 |
229 | Tyler Skaggs, LAA | SP | 1 |
230 | Luke Weaver, ARI | SP | 1 |
231 | DJ LeMahieu, NYY | 2B/3B | 1 |
232 | Jeff McNeil, NYM | 2B/3B/OF | 1 |
233 | Eduardo Escobar, ARI | 3B/SS | 1 |
234 | Robinson Chirinos, HOU | C | 1 |
235 | Nick Markakis, ATL | OF | 1 |
236 | Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DH | 1 |
237 | Steven Matz, NYM | SP | 1 |
238 | Vince Velasquez, PHI | SP | 1 |
239 | Jake Arrieta, PHI | SP | 1 |
240 | Diego Castillo, TB | RP | 1 |
241 | Jose Alvarado, TB | RP | 1 |
242 | Justin Upton, LAA | OF | 1 |
243 | Mallex Smith, TB | OF | 1 |
244 | Zach Eflin, PHI | SP | 1 |
245 | Reynaldo Lopez, CHW | SP | 1 |
246 | Dallas Keuchel, HOU | SP | 1 |
247 | Jimmy Nelson, MIL | SP | 1 |
248 | Jesus Luzardo, OAK | SP | 1 |
249 | Ender Inciarte, ATL | OF | 1 |
250 | Brett Gardner, NYY | OF | 1 |