You should never get too high or too low with Lance Lynn. When he underwhelmed in his first two starts, he was still Lance Lynn. When he struck out 11 in seven shutout innings, he was still Lance Lynn.
So who is Lance Lynn? He's shown exactly who over last two years: A hard-throwing, strikeout-per-inning type who pitches deep enough into games to pile up victories for a well-rounded Cardinals team but whose inconsistencies condemn him to a higher-than-average ERA and WHIP. Pretty simple.
And with that last start, his season-to-date numbers are pretty much spot on. It may not seem like it since he hasn't been that middle-of-the-road pitcher in any one of his three starts, but few players arrive at their final numbers through a series of alike performances.
In fact, Lynn takes the opposite route. After struggling in two of his first three starts last year, he compiled a 2.10 ERA over his next nine, followed by a 6.32 ERA over his next eight, followed by a 2.28 ERA over his next four, followed by a 7.57 ERA over his next five, followed by a 1.09 ERA over his final four. His 2012 season went much the same way.
What it means is he's more valuable in Rotisserie leagues than Head-to-Head, where you care more about the end result than the step by step. It also means you might consider selling high on him if he strings together a few more of these starts.