In every one-QB mock draft I've seen and participated in this offseason, Christian McCaffrey was the first player taken with zero hesitation.
Until now.
In our most recent #AskFFT fan mock draft with 12 members of our Fantasy Football Today audience, Justin Jefferson went first overall. McCaffrey went second overall.
Why might someone consider another player besides McCaffrey with their first pick? There's the obvious: He's a 28-year-old running back. Though it's more common with backs who are even older than 29, there are breakdown concerns. By comparison, wide receivers tend to have better shelf-lives.
It should also be mentioned that McCaffrey is coming off of a 417-touch season including the playoffs, a career-high. McCaffrey missed 23 games over two seasons the last time he had over 400 touches in one year (2019).
Was Jefferson the right receiver to take over Tyreek Hill, CeeDee Lamb and Ja'Marr Chase? Perhaps so if rookie J.J. McCarthy plays to the level that Kirk Cousins did. But we're a long way from there. Our consensus rankings have Jefferson at fifth overall
Here are some other notable picks from our most recent fan mock draft:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown went sixth overall, one spot ahead of Tyreek Hill. This isn't the first time St. Brown went earlier than expected in a fan mock -- perhaps it's a sign that Fantasy managers are very much OK with St. Brown's mostly consistent high-end production.
- Jahmyr Gibbs went in Round 2 for the second straight mock draft, and no higher than 12th in any fan mock. It's beginning to look like he'll be an option for those picking in draft slots 10, 11 and 12.
- Maybe it was because he just got a fresh new contract extension, but Nico Collins went 17th overall ahead of Chris Olave, Drake London, Davante Adams and Michael Pittman, just to name a few. For him to go that high suggests that there are no concerns about a thinner target volume now that Stefon Diggs is in H-town. Diggs, for what it's worth, went 52nd -- two spots after Tank Dell.
- Josh Allen was the first quarterback off the board this time, and at 44th overall. It's another example of Fantasy fans collectively waiting to take a quarterback instead of rushing to get one with a top-20 pick. Jalen Hurts went with the pick right after, then Patrick Mahomes went in the round after.
- Speaking of quarterbacks, Anthony Richardson was the fourth one off the board at 56th overall -- three spots ahead of Lamar Jackson. It's the first time he's gone this high in a mock.
- Zay Flowers, DK Metcalf, Amari Cooper and Richardson all went higher than anticipated.
- Deebo Samuel, De'Von Achane, Rachaad White and Mahomes all went later than anticipated.
Every manager fielded a team that must start a QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, a TE and a FLEX (RB/WR/TE) along with seven reserve spots. Our scoring includes six points for all touchdowns along with one point per reception, one point for every 10 yards rushing and receiving, one point for every 25 yards passing and minus-two points for every turnover.
The results are listed below -- please take the time to review each team, and even consider how they started their mock drafts. Eight managers started their teams with one RB and a pass catcher, one had two RBs (Team 9) and the remaining three had two WRs (Teams 1, 7 and 12).
Round 1 | ||
---|---|---|
Pos | Team | Player |
1 | TEAM 1 | J. Jefferson WR MIN |
2 | TEAM 2 | C. McCaffrey RB SF |
3 | TEAM 3 | C. Lamb WR DAL |
4 | TEAM 4 | B. Robinson RB ATL |
5 | TEAM 5 | J. Chase WR CIN |
6 | TEAM 6 | A. St. Brown WR DET |
7 | No IR! | T. Hill WR MIA |
8 | TEAM 8 | B. Hall RB NYJ |
9 | TEAM 9 | S. Barkley RB PHI |
10 | TEAM 10 | K. Williams RB LAR |
11 | TEAM 11 | P. Nacua WR LAR |
12 | TEAM 12 | G. Wilson WR NYJ |
Round 2 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
13 | TEAM 12 | A. Brown WR PHI |
14 | TEAM 11 | J. Gibbs RB DET |
15 | TEAM 10 | M. Harrison Jr. WR ARI |
16 | TEAM 9 | J. Taylor RB IND |
17 | TEAM 8 | N. Collins WR HOU |
18 | No IR! | C. Olave WR NO |
19 | TEAM 6 | T. Etienne RB JAC |
20 | TEAM 5 | D. Henry RB BAL |
21 | TEAM 4 | T. Kelce TE KC |
22 | TEAM 3 | J. Jacobs RB GB |
23 | TEAM 2 | D. London WR ATL |
24 | TEAM 1 | D. Adams WR NYJ |
Round 3 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
25 | TEAM 1 | Z. Flowers WR BAL |
26 | TEAM 2 | M. Pittman WR IND |
27 | TEAM 3 | S. LaPorta TE DET |
28 | TEAM 4 | M. Evans WR TB |
29 | TEAM 5 | B. Aiyuk WR SF |
30 | TEAM 6 | J. Cook RB BUF |
31 | No IR! | C. Kupp WR LAR |
32 | TEAM 8 | D. Metcalf WR SEA |
33 | TEAM 9 | A. Cooper WR BUF |
34 | TEAM 10 | D. Moore WR CHI |
35 | TEAM 11 | I. Pacheco RB KC |
36 | TEAM 12 | D. Samuel WR SF |
Round 4 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
37 | TEAM 12 | D. Achane RB MIA |
38 | TEAM 11 | J. Waddle WR MIA |
39 | TEAM 10 | R. White RB TB |
40 | TEAM 9 | D. Smith WR PHI |
41 | TEAM 8 | G. Pickens WR PIT |
42 | No IR! | A. Kamara RB NO |
43 | TEAM 6 | J. Mixon RB HOU |
44 | TEAM 5 | J. Allen QB BUF |
45 | TEAM 4 | J. Hurts QB PHI |
46 | TEAM 3 | T. Higgins WR CIN |
47 | TEAM 2 | K. Walker III RB SEA |
48 | TEAM 1 | T. McBride TE ARI |
Round 5 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
49 | TEAM 1 | D. Montgomery RB DET |
50 | TEAM 2 | T. Dell WR HOU |
51 | TEAM 3 | P. Mahomes QB KC |
52 | TEAM 4 | S. Diggs WR HOU |
53 | TEAM 5 | D. Kincaid TE BUF |
54 | TEAM 6 | C. Kirk WR JAC |
55 | No IR! | M. Andrews TE BAL |
56 | TEAM 8 | A. Richardson QB IND |
57 | TEAM 9 | G. Kittle TE SF |
58 | TEAM 10 | A. Jones RB MIN |
59 | TEAM 11 | L. Jackson QB BAL |
60 | TEAM 12 | M. Nabers WR NYG |
Round 6 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
61 | TEAM 12 | K. Pitts TE ATL |
62 | TEAM 11 | Z. White RB LV |
63 | TEAM 10 | J. Burrow QB CIN |
64 | TEAM 9 | J. Conner RB ARI |
65 | TEAM 8 | E. Engram TE JAC |
66 | No IR! | Z. Moss RB CIN |
67 | TEAM 6 | T. McLaurin WR WAS |
68 | TEAM 5 | N. Harris RB PIT |
69 | TEAM 4 | D. Swift RB CHI |
70 | TEAM 3 | C. Ridley WR TEN |
71 | TEAM 2 | T. Pollard RB TEN |
72 | TEAM 1 | J. Brooks RB CAR |
Round 7 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
73 | TEAM 1 | J. Williams RB DEN |
74 | TEAM 2 | D. Johnson WR HOU |
75 | TEAM 3 | R. Mostert RB MIA |
76 | TEAM 4 | L. McConkey WR LAC |
77 | TEAM 5 | M. Brown WR KC |
78 | TEAM 6 | R. Stevenson RB NE |
79 | No IR! | C. Godwin WR TB |
80 | TEAM 8 | J. Warren RB PIT |
81 | TEAM 9 | J. Reed WR GB |
82 | TEAM 10 | J. Addison WR MIN |
83 | TEAM 11 | C. Watson WR GB |
84 | TEAM 12 | C. Stroud QB HOU |
Round 8 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
85 | TEAM 12 | B. Robinson Jr. RB WAS |
86 | TEAM 11 | C. Williams QB CHI |
87 | TEAM 10 | D. Njoku TE CLE |
88 | TEAM 9 | K. Murray QB ARI |
89 | TEAM 8 | J. Herbert QB LAC |
90 | No IR! | R. Rice WR KC |
91 | TEAM 6 | X. Worthy WR KC |
92 | TEAM 5 | A. Ekeler RB WAS |
93 | TEAM 4 | N. Chubb RB CLE |
94 | TEAM 3 | K. Allen WR CHI |
95 | TEAM 2 | D. Singletary RB NYG |
96 | TEAM 1 | T. Spears RB TEN |
Round 9 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
97 | TEAM 1 | D. Prescott QB DAL |
98 | TEAM 2 | J. Love QB GB |
99 | TEAM 3 | D. Hopkins WR KC |
100 | TEAM 4 | K. Coleman WR BUF |
101 | TEAM 5 | T. Benson RB ARI |
102 | TEAM 6 | E. Elliott RB DAL |
103 | No IR! | B. Purdy QB SF |
104 | TEAM 8 | B. Thomas Jr. WR JAC |
105 | TEAM 9 | C. Brown RB CIN |
106 | TEAM 10 | J. Dobbins RB LAC |
107 | TEAM 11 | C. Sutton WR DEN |
108 | TEAM 12 | R. Odunze WR CHI |
Round 10 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
109 | TEAM 12 | G. Edwards RB LAC |
110 | TEAM 11 | J. Ferguson TE DAL |
111 | TEAM 10 | J. Daniels QB WAS |
112 | TEAM 9 | B. Bowers TE LV |
113 | TEAM 8 | Q. Johnston WR LAC |
114 | No IR! | T. Tagovailoa QB MIA |
115 | TEAM 6 | J. Goff QB DET |
116 | TEAM 5 | C. Samuel WR BUF |
117 | TEAM 4 | J. Ford RB CLE |
118 | TEAM 3 | T. Hockenson TE MIN |
119 | TEAM 2 | R. Doubs WR GB |
120 | TEAM 1 | J. Smith-Njigba WR SEA |
Round 11 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
121 | TEAM 1 | B. Corum RB LAR |
122 | TEAM 2 | K. Shakir WR BUF |
123 | TEAM 3 | T. Chandler RB MIN |
124 | TEAM 4 | A. Mitchell WR IND |
125 | TEAM 5 | J. Williams WR DET |
126 | TEAM 6 | M. Lloyd RB GB |
127 | No IR! | Z. Charbonnet RB SEA |
128 | TEAM 8 | J. Wright RB MIA |
129 | TEAM 9 | T. Lockett WR SEA |
130 | TEAM 10 | R. Shaheed WR NO |
131 | TEAM 11 | R. Dowdle RB DAL |
132 | TEAM 12 | T. Lawrence QB JAC |
Round 12 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
133 | TEAM 12 | X. Legette WR CAR |
134 | TEAM 11 | R. Wilson WR PIT |
135 | TEAM 10 | C. Kmet TE CHI |
136 | TEAM 9 | T. Tracy Jr. RB NYG |
137 | TEAM 8 | J. Dotson WR PHI |
138 | No IR! | K. Miller RB NO |
139 | TEAM 6 | D. Schultz TE HOU |
140 | TEAM 5 | T. Franklin WR DEN |
141 | TEAM 4 | R. Johnson RB CHI |
142 | TEAM 3 | J. Jeudy WR CLE |
143 | TEAM 2 | P. Freiermuth TE PIT |
144 | TEAM 1 | C. Hubbard RB CAR |
Round 13 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
145 | TEAM 1 | K. Vidal RB LAC |
146 | TEAM 2 | A. Gibson RB NE |
147 | TEAM 3 | J. McLaughlin RB DEN |
148 | TEAM 4 | K. Cousins QB ATL |
149 | TEAM 5 | D. Wicks WR GB |
150 | TEAM 6 | L. Musgrave TE GB |
151 | No IR! | E. Mitchell RB SF |
152 | TEAM 8 | C. Parkinson TE LAR |
153 | TEAM 9 | J. Downs WR IND |
154 | TEAM 10 | D. Foreman RB CLE |
155 | TEAM 11 | B. Irving RB TB |
156 | TEAM 12 | K. Mitchell RB BAL |
Round 14 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
157 | TEAM 12 | J. Burton WR CIN |
158 | TEAM 11 | D. Goedert TE PHI |
159 | TEAM 10 | J. Meyers WR LV |
160 | TEAM 9 | M. Stafford QB LAR |
161 | TEAM 8 | D. Chark WR LAC |
162 | No IR! | T. Allgeier RB ATL |
163 | TEAM 6 | J. Palmer WR LAC |
164 | TEAM 5 | I. Likely TE BAL |
165 | TEAM 4 | R. Pearsall WR SF |
166 | TEAM 3 | D. Watson QB CLE |
167 | TEAM 2 | A. Mattison RB LV |
168 | TEAM 1 | J. Polk WR NE |
TEAM 1 | ||
---|---|---|
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 1 | J. Jefferson WR MIN |
2 | 24 | D. Adams WR NYJ |
3 | 25 | Z. Flowers WR BAL |
4 | 48 | T. McBride TE ARI |
5 | 49 | D. Montgomery RB DET |
6 | 72 | J. Brooks RB CAR |
7 | 73 | J. Williams RB DEN |
8 | 96 | T. Spears RB TEN |
9 | 97 | D. Prescott QB DAL |
10 | 120 | J. Smith-Njigba WR SEA |
11 | 121 | B. Corum RB LAR |
12 | 144 | C. Hubbard RB CAR |
13 | 145 | K. Vidal RB LAC |
14 | 168 | J. Polk WR NE |
TEAM 2 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 2 | C. McCaffrey RB SF |
2 | 23 | D. London WR ATL |
3 | 26 | M. Pittman WR IND |
4 | 47 | K. Walker III RB SEA |
5 | 50 | T. Dell WR HOU |
6 | 71 | T. Pollard RB TEN |
7 | 74 | D. Johnson WR HOU |
8 | 95 | D. Singletary RB NYG |
9 | 98 | J. Love QB GB |
10 | 119 | R. Doubs WR GB |
11 | 122 | K. Shakir WR BUF |
12 | 143 | P. Freiermuth TE PIT |
13 | 146 | A. Gibson RB NE |
14 | 167 | A. Mattison RB LV |
TEAM 3 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 3 | C. Lamb WR DAL |
2 | 22 | J. Jacobs RB GB |
3 | 27 | S. LaPorta TE DET |
4 | 46 | T. Higgins WR CIN |
5 | 51 | P. Mahomes QB KC |
6 | 70 | C. Ridley WR TEN |
7 | 75 | R. Mostert RB MIA |
8 | 94 | K. Allen WR CHI |
9 | 99 | D. Hopkins WR KC |
10 | 118 | T. Hockenson TE MIN |
11 | 123 | T. Chandler RB MIN |
12 | 142 | J. Jeudy WR CLE |
13 | 147 | J. McLaughlin RB DEN |
14 | 166 | D. Watson QB CLE |
TEAM 4 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 4 | B. Robinson RB ATL |
2 | 21 | T. Kelce TE KC |
3 | 28 | M. Evans WR TB |
4 | 45 | J. Hurts QB PHI |
5 | 52 | S. Diggs WR HOU |
6 | 69 | D. Swift RB CHI |
7 | 76 | L. McConkey WR LAC |
8 | 93 | N. Chubb RB CLE |
9 | 100 | K. Coleman WR BUF |
10 | 117 | J. Ford RB CLE |
11 | 124 | A. Mitchell WR IND |
12 | 141 | R. Johnson RB CHI |
13 | 148 | K. Cousins QB ATL |
14 | 165 | R. Pearsall WR SF |
TEAM 5 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 5 | J. Chase WR CIN |
2 | 20 | D. Henry RB BAL |
3 | 29 | B. Aiyuk WR SF |
4 | 44 | J. Allen QB BUF |
5 | 53 | D. Kincaid TE BUF |
6 | 68 | N. Harris RB PIT |
7 | 77 | M. Brown WR KC |
8 | 92 | A. Ekeler RB WAS |
9 | 101 | T. Benson RB ARI |
10 | 116 | C. Samuel WR BUF |
11 | 125 | J. Williams WR DET |
12 | 140 | T. Franklin WR DEN |
13 | 149 | D. Wicks WR GB |
14 | 164 | I. Likely TE BAL |
TEAM 6 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 6 | A. St. Brown WR DET |
2 | 19 | T. Etienne RB JAC |
3 | 30 | J. Cook RB BUF |
4 | 43 | J. Mixon RB HOU |
5 | 54 | C. Kirk WR JAC |
6 | 67 | T. McLaurin WR WAS |
7 | 78 | R. Stevenson RB NE |
8 | 91 | X. Worthy WR KC |
9 | 102 | E. Elliott RB DAL |
10 | 115 | J. Goff QB DET |
11 | 126 | M. Lloyd RB GB |
12 | 139 | D. Schultz TE HOU |
13 | 150 | L. Musgrave TE GB |
14 | 163 | J. Palmer WR LAC |
No IR! | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 7 | T. Hill WR MIA |
2 | 18 | C. Olave WR NO |
3 | 31 | C. Kupp WR LAR |
4 | 42 | A. Kamara RB NO |
5 | 55 | M. Andrews TE BAL |
6 | 66 | Z. Moss RB CIN |
7 | 79 | C. Godwin WR TB |
8 | 90 | R. Rice WR KC |
9 | 103 | B. Purdy QB SF |
10 | 114 | T. Tagovailoa QB MIA |
11 | 127 | Z. Charbonnet RB SEA |
12 | 138 | K. Miller RB NO |
13 | 151 | E. Mitchell RB SF |
14 | 162 | T. Allgeier RB ATL |
TEAM 8 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 8 | B. Hall RB NYJ |
2 | 17 | N. Collins WR HOU |
3 | 32 | D. Metcalf WR SEA |
4 | 41 | G. Pickens WR PIT |
5 | 56 | A. Richardson QB IND |
6 | 65 | E. Engram TE JAC |
7 | 80 | J. Warren RB PIT |
8 | 89 | J. Herbert QB LAC |
9 | 104 | B. Thomas Jr. WR JAC |
10 | 113 | Q. Johnston WR LAC |
11 | 128 | J. Wright RB MIA |
12 | 137 | J. Dotson WR PHI |
13 | 152 | C. Parkinson TE LAR |
14 | 161 | D. Chark WR LAC |
TEAM 9 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 9 | S. Barkley RB PHI |
2 | 16 | J. Taylor RB IND |
3 | 33 | A. Cooper WR BUF |
4 | 40 | D. Smith WR PHI |
5 | 57 | G. Kittle TE SF |
6 | 64 | J. Conner RB ARI |
7 | 81 | J. Reed WR GB |
8 | 88 | K. Murray QB ARI |
9 | 105 | C. Brown RB CIN |
10 | 112 | B. Bowers TE LV |
11 | 129 | T. Lockett WR SEA |
12 | 136 | T. Tracy Jr. RB NYG |
13 | 153 | J. Downs WR IND |
14 | 160 | M. Stafford QB LAR |
TEAM 10 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 10 | K. Williams RB LAR |
2 | 15 | M. Harrison Jr. WR ARI |
3 | 34 | D. Moore WR CHI |
4 | 39 | R. White RB TB |
5 | 58 | A. Jones RB MIN |
6 | 63 | J. Burrow QB CIN |
7 | 82 | J. Addison WR MIN |
8 | 87 | D. Njoku TE CLE |
9 | 106 | J. Dobbins RB LAC |
10 | 111 | J. Daniels QB WAS |
11 | 130 | R. Shaheed WR NO |
12 | 135 | C. Kmet TE CHI |
13 | 154 | D. Foreman RB CLE |
14 | 159 | J. Meyers WR LV |
TEAM 11 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 11 | P. Nacua WR LAR |
2 | 14 | J. Gibbs RB DET |
3 | 35 | I. Pacheco RB KC |
4 | 38 | J. Waddle WR MIA |
5 | 59 | L. Jackson QB BAL |
6 | 62 | Z. White RB LV |
7 | 83 | C. Watson WR GB |
8 | 86 | C. Williams QB CHI |
9 | 107 | C. Sutton WR DEN |
10 | 110 | J. Ferguson TE DAL |
11 | 131 | R. Dowdle RB DAL |
12 | 134 | R. Wilson WR PIT |
13 | 155 | B. Irving RB TB |
14 | 158 | D. Goedert TE PHI |
TEAM 12 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 12 | G. Wilson WR NYJ |
2 | 13 | A. Brown WR PHI |
3 | 36 | D. Samuel WR SF |
4 | 37 | D. Achane RB MIA |
5 | 60 | M. Nabers WR NYG |
6 | 61 | K. Pitts TE ATL |
7 | 84 | C. Stroud QB HOU |
8 | 85 | B. Robinson Jr. RB WAS |
9 | 108 | R. Odunze WR CHI |
10 | 109 | G. Edwards RB LAC |
11 | 132 | T. Lawrence QB JAC |
12 | 133 | X. Legette WR CAR |
13 | 156 | K. Mitchell RB BAL |
14 | 157 | J. Burton WR CIN |