If running backs are top-heavy and tight ends are in short supply, wide receivers are the all-you-can-eat buffet of the century. The position is insanely deep and not particularly top-heavy, meaning you can find starters you'll feel good about with plenty of your picks.
All the more reason to focus on other positions early on. Hint hint.
College football has spawned so many exciting new receivers, and they're adapting to the pro game faster than their predecessors. Not that their more recent predecessors are getting pushed out the door -- plenty of really good veterans are still big-time factors.
But if we're looking for 15 PPR points per week from a starting Fantasy receiver, we should be able to find someone who has the outlook to deliver it pretty easily. On average, 25.9 wide receivers averaged 15 PPR points per week in 2020. On a per-person basis, 17 receivers averaged 15 PPR points per game and another 15 averaged between 13 and 14.9.
Make no mistake, receivers are safe. That's why it's understandable to go after these guys with, say, two of your first four picks. These pass catchers tend to stay healthier than their running back counterparts and can provide some good consistency. Plus the game is changing in their favor -- teams are passing more and the league is loaded with exciting quarterbacks.
But as has been the case for a few years, offenses are employing more spread formations, meaning that wide receiver target shares are getting watered down a little. Maybe that changes as the league moves to a 17-game slate, but it's unlikely to alter anything greatly.
The rush to draft running backs early will push some great values into your face at receiver. Take advantage. You should feel comfortable drafting anyone into the sixth tier, or Round 7, as a startable part of your lineup. You might even feel OK with a couple of other receivers you'll find one round later. And even if you don't, there are always players out there, both later on Draft Day and on the waiver wire, who should at least provide a floor of 10 PPR points.
But even if that makes you nervous, you could always choose just enough wide receivers from the first five tiers to cover your league's lineup requirements. Chase a couple of other receivers later, namely, those who you believe can pick up at least six targets per game and/or have early-season breakout potential (good role, good quarterback, friendly schedule).
DAVE'S FAVORITE STRATEGY: Bake your receiver picks into your strategies at other positions. Don't force yourself to take one when there's a better value at running back or tight end early on. Assume you'll be able to find a receiver you'll like until you get to Round 8.
Wide receiver PPR tiers (updated 9/1)
D. Adams
NYJ
|
T. Hill
MIA
|
S. Diggs
HOU
|
C. Ridley
TEN
|
D. Hopkins
KC
|
A. Brown
PHI
|
D. Metcalf
SEA
|
K. Allen
CHI
|
J. Jefferson
MIN
|
A. Robinson
DET
|
R. Woods
HOU
|
T. McLaurin
WAS
|
C. Lamb
DAL
|
C. Godwin
TB
|
T. Lockett
SEA
|
A. Cooper
BUF
|
D. Johnson
BAL
|
C. Kupp
LAR
|
J. Jones
PHI
|
M. Evans
TB
|
J. Jeudy
CLE
|
B. Aiyuk
SF
|
J. Chase
CIN
|
T. Boyd
TEN
|
T. Higgins
CIN
|
D. Moore
CHI
|
A. Thielen
CAR
|
C. Claypool
BUF
|
R. Chosen
MIA
|
J. Smith-Schuster
KC
|
C. Sutton
DEN
|
K. Golladay
NYG
|
A. Brown
TB
|
D. Smith
PHI
|
O. Beckham Jr.
MIA
|
J. Waddle
MIA
|
J. Meyers
LV
|
L. Shenault Jr.
SEA
|
M. Thomas
NO
|
M. Jones
DET
|
M. Callaway
TB
|
D. Chark
LAC
|
B. Cooks
DAL
|
D. Mooney
ATL
|
C. Davis
NYJ
|
M. Brown
KC
|
W. Fuller
MIA
|
M. Hardman
KC
|
E. Moore
CLE
|
M. Pittman
IND
|
D. Samuel
SF
|
H. Ruggs III
LV
|
J. Landry
NO
|
C. Samuel
BUF
|
P. Campbell
PHI
|
M. Gallup
LV
|
M. Williams
PIT
|
B. Edwards
NO
|
R. Moore
ATL
|
S. Shepard
TB
|
E. Sanders
BUF
|
R. Gage
SF
|
T. Marshall Jr.
LV
|
J. Reagor
LAC
|
A. St. Brown
DET
|
C. Beasley
NYG
|
R. Bateman
BAL
|
D. Parker
PHI
|
T. Williams
DET
|
G. Davis
JAC
|
J. Crowder
WAS
|
Wide receiver Non-PPR tiers (updated 9/1)
T. Hill
MIA
|
D. Adams
NYJ
|
S. Diggs
HOU
|
C. Ridley
TEN
|
D. Hopkins
KC
|
A. Brown
PHI
|
D. Metcalf
SEA
|
J. Jefferson
MIN
|
A. Robinson
DET
|
R. Woods
HOU
|
T. McLaurin
WAS
|
K. Allen
CHI
|
T. Lockett
SEA
|
C. Lamb
DAL
|
A. Cooper
BUF
|
C. Godwin
TB
|
M. Evans
TB
|
D. Johnson
BAL
|
J. Jones
PHI
|
J. Jeudy
CLE
|
C. Kupp
LAR
|
B. Aiyuk
SF
|
J. Chase
CIN
|
T. Higgins
CIN
|
C. Claypool
BUF
|
D. Moore
CHI
|
R. Chosen
MIA
|
T. Boyd
TEN
|
A. Thielen
CAR
|
C. Sutton
DEN
|
J. Smith-Schuster
KC
|
D. Smith
PHI
|
K. Golladay
NYG
|
J. Waddle
MIA
|
A. Brown
TB
|
O. Beckham Jr.
MIA
|
M. Thomas
NO
|
D. Mooney
ATL
|
M. Callaway
TB
|
M. Jones
DET
|
L. Shenault Jr.
SEA
|
M. Brown
KC
|
J. Meyers
LV
|
C. Davis
NYJ
|
W. Fuller
MIA
|
D. Chark
LAC
|
M. Hardman
KC
|
B. Cooks
DAL
|
H. Ruggs III
LV
|
M. Pittman
IND
|
E. Moore
CLE
|
C. Samuel
BUF
|
M. Gallup
LV
|
R. Moore
ATL
|
J. Landry
NO
|
D. Samuel
SF
|
M. Williams
PIT
|
B. Edwards
NO
|
E. Sanders
BUF
|
T. Marshall Jr.
LV
|
R. Bateman
BAL
|
P. Campbell
PHI
|
J. Reagor
LAC
|
So which sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen's huge season, and find out.