Scottie Scheffler was completely dominant over the final three months of the PGA Tour 2022-23 regular season with seven straight top-five finishes prior to The Open Championship in his season's final event. The No. 1 golfer in the world is the 13-2 favorite to win the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship to begin the 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs, starting on Thursday at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn. The first tee times come at 8:50 a.m. ET. Will the favorite breakthrough at the 2023 St. Jude Championship in the first leg on the quest toward an $18 million grand prize?
For the first time in the 17-year playoff, the opening field has dropped from 125 golfers to 70. This means a much more competitive field with 50 golfers advancing to the next week's BMW Championship. Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy are getting 8-1 in the latest 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds with Patrick Cantlay (14-1) and Xander Schauffele (16-1) following on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 FedEx St. Judge Championship field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023: McIlroy, the defending FedEx Cup Playoffs champion and one of the top favorites this week, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top three. The model has identified him as a poor value in the outright winner market at 8-1.
The No. 2 golfer in the OWGR has been almost automatic when it comes to top-10s and being in contention in general. But he's struggled to finish off big tournaments overall with only wins at the Scottish Open and CJ Cup this season despite his overall great form. He also missed the cut altogether at this event in 2022 before storming back to take the overall playoff crown.
Another surprise: Tyrrell Hatton, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Hatton made the cut in 17 of 18 PGA Tour events this season, including seven top-10 finishes, and he finished in the top 15 in six of his final eight events entering the FedEx Cup playoffs.
The 31-year-old has played TPC Southwind four times, including finishing 17th in 2021 and has shot a combined 13-under-par in his last two events on the course. Hatton is fourth on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained, highlighted by top-10 rankings in strokes gained: putting (sixth), strokes gained: Tee-to-Green (seventh) and strokes gained: Off-the-Tee (10th). He's been one of the best putters on the PGA Tour this season and another strong four days from his putter could result in a big victory to begin his quest for the FedEx Cup Championship. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
So, who will win the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 FedEx St. Jude odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 FedEx St. Jude leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including this year's Masters and Open Championship.
2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, field
See the full FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler 13-2
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Jon Rahm 8-1
Patrick Cantlay 14-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Victor Hovland 18-1
Tyrrell Hatton 22-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Collin Morikawa 25-1
Tony Finau 28-1
Rickie Fowler 28-1
Wyndham Clark 30-1
Max Homa 30-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 30-1
Jason Day 30-1
Sam Burns 35-1
Russell Henley 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Brian Harman 35-1
Tom Kim 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
J.T. Poston 45-1
Sepp Straka 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Byeong Hun An 50-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Cam Davis 60-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Lee Hodges 70-1
Harris English 70-1
Lucas Glover 75-1
Denny McCarthy 75-1
Keith Mitchell 80-1
Emiliano Grillo 80-1
Aaron Rai 80-1
Taylor Moore 90-1
Stephen Jaegar 90-1
Sahith Theegala 90-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Thomas Detry 110-1
Seamus Power 110-1
Eric Cole 110-1
Brendon Todd 110-1
Beau Hossler 110-1
Andrew Putnam 110-1
Adam Svensson 110-1
Patrick Rodgers 130-1
Matt Kuchar 130-1
Kurt Kitayama 130-1
JJ Spaun 130-1
Alex Smalley 130-1
Vincent Norrman 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Nick Hardy 150-1
Mark Hubbard 150-1
Sam Stevens 180-1
Nick Taylor 180-1
Adam Schenk 180-1
Taylor Montgomery 250-1
Sam Ryder 250-1
Hayden Buckley 250-1
Davis Riley 250-1
Brandon Wu 250-1
Ben Griffin 250-1
Mackenzie Hughes 300-1
Matt NeSmith 300-1
