If Max Homa can finish on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open, he'll become the first golfer since Tiger Woods to successfully defend his title. Homa will have to stave off several serious contenders if he wants to rewrite the history books in San Diego. Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Collin Morikawa, and Jason Day are among the experienced players looking to dethrone Homa and win the Farmers Insurance Open 2024.
Play gets underway from Torrey Pines Golf Course on Wednesday. The 2024 Farmers Insurance Open tee times begin at 11:50 a.m. ET. Schauffele, who's coming off a T-3 finish at the American Express, is the 9-1 favorite, with Homa (10-1), Cantlay (10-1) and Morikawa (11-1) next in line on the PGA odds board. Before locking in any 2024 Farmers Insurance Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Farmers Insurance Open 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Farmers Insurance Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Farmers Insurance Open 2024: Schauffele, a seven-time winner on the PGA Tour and the odds-on favorite this week, struggles and barely cracks the top five. Schauffele did not finish inside the top 10 at this tournament last year, and he was outside the top 30 in 2022. He finished T-10 at The Sentry earlier this month before carding a T-3 at the American Express last week.
The 30-year-old is one of the top golfers in the field, but there are too many strong contenders to justify his short odds as the favorite. He ranks outside the top 20 in total strokes gained on the PGA Tour this season, and he is outside the top 95 in strokes gained: putting and strokes gained: driving. Ten of the top 30 golfers in the world rankings are heading to Torrey Pines, and the model has identified other golfers whose odds hold more value.
Another surprise: Keegan Bradley, a 33-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Bradley has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Bradley secured an impressive T-2 finish at the American Express last week and he's coming off a 2022-23 season that saw him record two wins and six top-10 finishes. The 37-year-old also had a runner-up finish at the Famers Insurance Open in 2023, meaning he'll enter this week's event full of confidence. He's been extremely accurate with his irons early this season, ranking 13th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach to green (0.966). If he's draining putts at Torrey Pines, he'll have a great shot at finishing on top of the leaderboard. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Farmers Insurance Open picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Farmers Insurance Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Farmers Insurance Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.
2024 Farmers Insurance Open odds, field
See the full Farmers Insurance Open picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Xander Schauffele +900
Patrick Cantlay +1000
Max Homa +1000
Collin Morikawa +1100
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Sungjae Im +2200
Min Woo Lee +2200
Tony Finau +2500
Jason Day +2500
Keegan Bradley +3300
Eric Cole +3500
Sahith Theegala +4000
Sepp Straka +4500
Will Zalatoris +4500
Hideki Matsuyama +4500
Adrian Meronk +5000
Harris English +5000
Justin Rose +5000
Nicolai Hojgaard +5500
Shane Lowry +6000
Daniel Berger +6500
Beau Hossler +7500
Luke List +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Stephan Jaeger +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Billy Horschel +8000
Akshay Bhatia +9000
Adam Svensson +9000
Taylor Pendrith +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9000
Taylor Montgomery +10000
Aaron Rai +10000
Ben Griffin +11000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Thomas Detry +11000
Adam Schenk +11000
Mackenzie Hughes +12000
Ryo Hisatsune +12000
Sam Ryder +12000
Alex Smalley +12000
K.H. Lee +12000
Taylor Moore +12000
Kevin Yu +12000
Emiliano Grillo +12000
Justin Suh +12000
Davis Thompson +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Matt Wallace +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Gary Woodland +15000
Nicholas Lindheim +15000
Matthieu Pavon +15000
Michael Kim +15000
