With an Olympic gold medal, two green jackets and two PGA Tour Player of the Year awards, Scottie Scheffler will look to add another accomplishment to his resume at the 2024 Tour Championship. The event will crown the FedEx Cup champion, with a runner-up in 2022 being Scheffler's best finish to date. He began that year's Tour Championship leading in the standings, and thus had a two-stroke lead, before losing to Rory McIlroy by one stroke. Scheffler is hoping for redemption at the Tour Championship 2024, where he'll again start with a two-stroke lead over Xander Schauffele.
The 2024 Tour Championship will begin on Thursday from East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta with the first tee times coming at 11:16 a.m. ET. Scheffler is the +115 favorite, with Schauffele next in line at +205. They both begin at 2 p.m. ET. Hideki Matsuyama will start three strokes back and is at +1000, per the Tour Championship 2024 odds, while McIlroy (six strokes back) is at +1400. Before locking in your 2024 Tour Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters -- its third Masters in a row -- and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now with the 2024 Tour Championship field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Tour Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Tour Championship: McIlroy (+1400), a 26-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. McIlroy had quite the late-spring/early-summer run over a span of seven tournaments. He had back-to-back victories, as well as five top 5s over that stretch, but it's been a struggle on the PGA Tour since then. He missed the cut at The Open, finished 68th out of 70 golfers at the St. Jude Championship, and then placed 11th a week ago at the BMW. Eleventh place was also his finish at last year's Tour Championship, based on his 72-hole score.
McIlroy is starting the 2024 Tour Championship 4-under-par, so he has a sizable six strokes to overcome to catch Scheffler. That's quite a large gap considering that McIlroy ranks just 67th on tour in total birdies. He's had numerous birdie opportunities slip through his fingers due to his putter, as the Irishman is just 65th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting. Considering his recent slide, strokes to overcome and struggles on the greens, McIlroy is one to fade with 2024 Tour Championship bets. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Viktor Hovland, a +3500 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. The reigning FedEx Cup champion will start eight strokes back at 2-under-par. However, this is a position that the Norwegian is somewhat familiar with as he had to chase down then-leader Scheffler to win the championship last year. Not only did Hovland win the 2023 Tour Championship with the starting strokes applied, but he also had the lowest 72-hole score without the staggered scoring applied.
Hovland has finished in the top 15 in all four of his starts at East Lake, based solely on his 72-hole score, and he was fourth at the tournament in 2021. Additionally, when in college at Oklahoma State, Hovland won the East Lake Cup at this course, so few can match his success at the venue. He was runner-up two weeks ago at the first FedEx Cup playoff event, so he clearly turns up his level of play this time of the year and could rise up the leaderboard this week. See who else to back here.
How to make 2024 Tour Championship picks
The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Tour Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Tour Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Tour Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.
2024 Tour Championship starting scores, odds to win
Get full 2024 Tour Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler (-10) +115
Xander Schauffele (-8) +220
Hideki Matsuyama (-7) +1000
Keegan Bradley (-6) +3000
Ludvig Åberg (-5) +1200
Rory McIlroy (-4) +1400
Collin Morikawa (-4) +3500
Wyndham Clark (-4) +4000
Sam Burns (-4) +2200
Patrick Cantlay (-4) +3500
Sungjae Im (-3) +6000
Sahith Theegala (-3) +10000
Shane Lowry (-3) +15000
Adam Scott (-3) +8000
Tony Finau (-3) +7500
Byeong Hun An (-2) +30000
Viktor Hovland (-2) +35000
Russell Henley (-2) +10000
Akshay Bhatia (-2) +35000
Robert MacIntyre (-2) +35000
Billy Horschel (-1) +20000
Tommy Fleetwood (-1) +10000
Sepp Straka (-1) +22500
Matthieu Pavon (-1) +75000
Taylor Pendrith (-1) +35000
Chris Kirk (E) +50000
Tom Hoge (E) +50000
Aaron Rai (E) +30000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (E) +50000
Justin Thomas (E) +25000
