If Collin Morikawa finishes on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 Zozo Championship, he'll become the first golfer to win this event in back-to-back years. Morikawa will have to stave off several serious contenders if he wants to rewrite the history books. Xander Schauffele, Hideki Matsuyama, Justin Thomas and Max Homa are among the experienced players looking to dethrone Morikawa and win the Zozo Championship 2024. 

Play gets underway from Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club in Japan on Wednesday evening, with the first tee times scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Schauffele, who has secured two wins and 15 top-10 finishes in 2024, is going off as the +450 favorite (risk $100 to win $450) according to the latest 2024 Zozo Championship odds. He's followed by Morikawa (+650), Matsuyama (+750) and Sungjae Im (+1400) on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2024 Zozo Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters -- its third Masters in a row -- and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks has seen massive returns on betting apps

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Now with the 2024 Zozo Championship field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Zozo Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Zozo Championship: Morikawa, the defending champion and one of the top favorites, fails to successfully defend his title in Japan. Morikawa's last start on the PGA Tour was a runner-up finish at the Tour Championship at East Lake in September. However, the 27-year-old has never successfully defended a title on the PGA Tour and he's been inconsistent with his iron play in 2024.

In fact, Morikawa enters this week's event ranked 135th in greens in regulation percentage (65.04%), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2024 Zozo Championship field. See who else to fade here.

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Another surprise: J.J. Spaun, a massive 50-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

In order to score well this week, players will need to be extremely accurate with their approach shots and few do it better than Spaun. The 34-year-old is ranked 17th in strokes gained: approach to green (0.473) and 18th in greens in regulation percentage (70.56%). He's also trending in the right direction, having finished T-9 or better in two of his last six starts on the PGA Tour. Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2024 Zozo Championship bets. See who else to back here

How to make 2024 Zozo Championship picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 33-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

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Who will win the 2024 Zozo Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Zozo Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Zozo Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.

2024 Zozo Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 Zozo Championship picks, best bets and predictions here

Xander Schauffele +450
Collin Morikawa +650
Hideki Matsuyama +750
Sungjae Im +1400
Sahith Theegala +1600
Justin Thomas +2000
Kurt Kitayama +3300
Beau Hossler +3300
Will Zalatoris +3500
Min Woo Lee +3500
Si Woo Kim +4000
Max Greyserman +4000
Maverick McNealy +4500
Doug Ghim +4500
Seamus Power +5000
J.J. Spaun +5000
Taylor Moore +5500
Patrick Rodgers +5500
Eric Cole +5500
Harry Hall +5500
Tom Hoge +5500
Max Homa +5500
Jhonattan Vegas +6000
Ben Griffin +6500
Rico Hoey +6500
Victor Perez +7000
Gary Woodland +7000
Sam Stevens +7000
Andrew Putnam +7000
Patrick Fishburn +7500
Mac Meissner +7500
Chan Kim +7500
Ryan Fox +8000
Rickie Fowler +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Adam Svensson +9000
Andrew Novak +9000
Charley Hoffman +11000
Nick Taylor +11000
Ben Silverman +11000
K.H. Lee +11000
Justin Lower +11000
Brendon Todd +12000
Kevin Yu +12000
Mark Hubbard +12000
Kensei Hirata +15000
Chad Ramey +15000
Shugo Imahira +15000
Takumi Kanaya +15000
Chandler Phillips +15000
Chris Gotterup +17000
Lee Hodges +17000
Carson Young +17000
C.T. Pan +17000
Nate Lashley +17000
Ben Kohles +20000
Adam Schenk +22000
Joel Dahmen +22000
David Skinns +25000
Luke List +25000
Davis Riley +25000
Ryosuke Kinoshita +25000
Sami Valimaki +27000
Nico Echavarria +35000
Zac Blair +35000
Ryo Ishikawa +40000
S.H. Kim +40000
Takashi Ogiso +50000
Kaito Onishi +50000
Taisei Shimizu +60000
Satoshi Kodaira +60000
Yuto Katsuragawa +75000
Yuta Sugiura +75000
Naoyuki Kataoka +100000
Takahiro Hataji +100000
Ren Yonezaw +100000
Hiroshi Iwata +100000