2026 Genesis Invitational odds, picks: Surprising predictions by golf model that's called 16 majors
SportsLine's model simulated the The Genesis Invitational 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising PGA Tour picks for this Signature Event
Another PGA Signature Event unfolds this week when the 2026 Genesis Invitational tees off on Thursday at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, Calif. The purse is $20 million, with Ludvig Aberg returning as the defending champion. Collin Morikawa enters this tournament off of a win at Pebble Beach, and based on course history, he has a great chance to continue his resurgence this week after previously recording just one top-10 since March of 2025. He's finished T19 or better at The Genesis Invitational the past four years, including a T2 at this event in 2022.
The latest 2026 Genesis Invitational odds via FanDuel Sportsbook list Scottie Scheffler as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300), with Rory McIlroy at +1100. Hideki Matsuyama, who won this event in 2024, is +2200, with Morikawa at +2500 and Aberg joins Jake Knapp and Viktor Hovland at +3500. Before locking in any 2026 Genesis Invitational picks, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters -- its fourth Masters in a row -- as well as this year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Genesis Invitational field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2026 Genesis Invitational predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at The Genesis Invitational 2026: Matsuyama, who won this event in 2024 and is coming off back-to-back top-10 performances, finishes outside the top 5 this week. Though he has the one win in this event, he's also missed the cut twice since 2021, and a slow start pushed him out of the top 10 last year at the Genesis. The model is not high on Matsuyama's value at +2500 in the PGA odds. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model is extremely high on Chris Gotterup at +3300. He is one of the hottest players on the PGA Tour, winning two of the four events he's appeared in this year. The success dates back to later in 2025 as he had four top-10 finishes between July and the end of the year, including a win at the Scottish Open and a third-place finish at the Open Championship. He's fifth in driving distance this season and sixth in Strokes Gained: Total, making him a strong value at the Genesis Invitational 2026. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 Genesis Invitational picks
The model is also targeting four other longshots of +2700 or higher to make a strong run. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Genesis Invitational, and which massive longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Genesis Invitational odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Genesis Invitational odds, favorites
Get full 2026 Genesis Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +300
Rory McIlroy +1100
Xander Schauffele +1900
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Russell Henley +2700
Patrick Cantlay +2700
Si Woo Kim +3000
Cameron Young +3000
Sam Burns +3300
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300
Chris Gotterup +3300
Min Woo Lee +3300
Ludvig Ã
berg +3500
Viktor Hovland +3500
Jake Knapp +3500
Justin Rose +4000
Robert MacIntyre +4000
Sepp Straka +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Ben Griffin +4000
Harris English +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Rickie Fowler +4500
Akshay Bhatia +4500
Jason Day +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Jordan Spieth +6000
Ryan Gerard +6000
Kurt Kitayama +7500
Pierceson Coody +7500
Taylor Pendrith +7500
Max Homa +7500
J.J. Spaun +7500
Nick Taylor +7500
