2026 Houston Open odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 16 majors
SportsLine's model simulated the Texas Children's Houston Open 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising PGA picks this week after Scottie Scheffler withdrew on Tuesday
A two-week stop in Texas leads into the Masters, and up first is the 2026 Houston Open beginning on Thursday at 8:20 a.m. ET at Memorial Park Golf Course. Texas native Scottie Scheffler originally planned to be in the 2026 Houston Open field, but he withdrew on Tuesday due to the upcoming birth of his child. The latest 2026 Houston Open odds now list defending champion Min Woo Lee as the new favorite at +1300 after he opened at +2200.
Other Houston Open contenders include Chris Gotterup (+1600), Jake Knapp (+2000), Sam Burns (+2200) and Brooks Koepka (+2200), who has just one top-10 finish this season in five tournaments since returning to the PGA. Stephan Jaeger, who won this event in 2024, is a 50-1 longshot. Before locking in any 2026 Houston Open picks, entering any Houston Open one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters -- its fourth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Houston Open field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or Houston Open DFS lineups.
2026 Houston Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Houston Open 2026: Lee, the defending champion and the favorite, does not repeat. The 27-year-old Australian has had a strong season, but his last outing at The Players Championship was more of a struggle. He shot 70 or higher in each round, including a fourth-round 74 as he finished T32. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model says Nicolai Hojgaard is a top-three favorite this week despite his longer odds at +2500. He had a tough weekend at the Valspar Championship last week, but hasn't finished worst than T27 at any other event this season. That includes a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open and a T6 at the Cognizant Classic. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 Houston Open picks
The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one at 40-1 who makes a stunning run for the title. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Houston Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Houston Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Houston Open odds, favorites
Get full 2026 Houston Open picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Min Woo Lee +1300
Chris Gotterup +1600
Jake Knapp +2000
Sam Burns +2200
Brooks Koepka +2200
Nicolai Højgaard +2500
Michael Thorbjornsen +2500
Marco Penge +2700
Kurt Kitayama +2700
Ryan Gerard +3000
Rickie Fowler +3300
Ben Griffin +3500
Rasmus Højgaard +3500
Wyndham Clark +3500
Harris English +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Pierceson Coody +4000
Sahith Theegala +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Keith Mitchell +4000
Harry Hall +4000
Taylor Pendrith +4500
Jordan Smith +4500
Samuel Stevens +4500
Ryan Fox +5500
Alex Smalley +5500
Tony Finau +5500
Stephan Jaeger +5500
Kristoffer Reitan +6000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +6000
Davis Thompson +6000
Ricky Castillo +6500
Max Greyserman +6500
Jason Day +6500
Michael Brennan +6500
Nico Echavarria +7000
Mac Meissner +7000
Sungjae Im +7000
Richard Hoey +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
William Mouw +8000
Aldrich Potgieter +8000
