2026 Houston Open odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 16 majors

A two-week stop in Texas leads into the Masters, and up first is the 2026 Houston Open beginning on Thursday at Memorial Park Golf Course. Texas native Scottie Scheffler is in the 2026 Houston Open field, and he's a substantial favorite in the 2026 Houston Open odds this week at +350. Defending champion Min Woo Lee (+1500) is the only other golfer going off lower than +2000. Other Houston Open contenders include Chris Gotterup (+2000), Jake Knapp (+2200), Sam Burns (+2700) and Brooks Koepka (+2700), who has just one top-10 finish this season in five tournaments since returning to the PGA. 

Should you lay the pricy number on Scheffler this week, or is there better value on one of the many longshots in the field? Before locking in any 2026 Houston Open picks, entering any Houston Open one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters -- its fourth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. 

New users can bet the 2026 Houston Open with the latest DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets instantly after any $5+ bet:

Now that the 2026 Houston Open field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or Houston Open DFS lineups. 

2026 Houston Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Houston Open 2026: Min Woo Lee, the defending champion and the second favorite, is not in the projected top five. He's a golfer to fade this week. The 27-year-old Australian has had a strong season, but his last outing at The Players Championship was more of a struggle. He shot 70 or higher in each round, including a fourth-round 74 as he finished T32. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: The model says Nicolai Hojgaard is a top-three favorite this week despite his longer odds at +3300. He had a tough weekend at the Valspar Championship last week, but hasn't finished worst than T27 at any other event this season. That includes a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open and a T6 at the Cognizant Classic. See who else to pick here. 

New users can also check out the latest FanDuel promo code and get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days:

How to make 2026 Houston Open picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers going off at +4000 or higher to make a strong run, including a massive +6000 longshot. You can only see the model's picks here. 

Who will win the 2026 Houston Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Houston Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 Houston Open odds, favorites 

Get full 2026 Houston Open picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +350
Min Woo Lee +1500
Chris Gotterup +2000
Jake Knapp +2200
Sam Burns +2700
Brooks Koepka +2700
Marco Penge +3000
Nicolai Højgaard +3300
Rickie Fowler +3300
Michael Thorbjornsen +3500
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Ben Griffin +4000
Ryan Gerard +4000
Harry Hall +4000
Harris English +4500
Adam Scott +4500
Shane Lowry +4500
Taylor Pendrith +5500
Sahith Theegala +5500
Keith Mitchell +5500
Jason Day +6000
Rasmus Højgaard +6000
Wyndham Clark +6000
Samuel Stevens +6000
Ryan Fox +6500
Ricky Castillo +6500
Pierceson Coody +6500
Alex Smalley +7000
Jordan Smith +7000
Sungjae Im +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Will Zalatoris +8000
Max Greyserman +8000
Davis Thompson +8000
Tony Finau +8000
Stephan Jaeger +8000
Kristoffer Reitan +10000
Richard Hoey +10000
Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000
Nico Echavarria +10000
Mac Meissner +10000
Max McGreevy +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Lee Hodges +10000
Aaron Rai +10000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +10000
J.T. Poston +10000
Michael Brennan +10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Mackenzie Hughes +10000
Aldrich Potgieter +10000
Haotong Li +10000
Thorbjørn Olesen +10000