The 2024 NASCAR Playoffs continue on Saturday with the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway and the championship field will be cut from 16 drivers to 12 at race's end. The green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET and the race is scheduled for 500 laps around the iconic 0.533-mile short track. Denny Hamlin has won the last two races at Bristol and he's the 4-1 favorite in the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds.
He's followed by Kyle Larson (9-2), Christopher Bell (6-1), Ty Gibbs (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (9-1) in the NASCAR at Bristol odds. Before making any 2024 NASCAR at Bristol predictions, entering any NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2024 Bristol Night Race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Bristol leaderboard.
Top 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race predictions
For the 2024 Bristol Night Race, the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's an 18-1 longshot in the latest 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Elliott is currently seventh in the NASCAR standings and has a 30-point cushion above the cutoff line for the Round of 12 but he'll be looking to give his title shots a boost on Saturday in Bristol.
Elliott has eight top-10 finishes in 14 career NASCAR Cup Series starts at Bristol Motor Speedway and he's led laps in nine of those starts. He's also shown a particular affinity for the Bristol Night Race, with finishes of third, fifth, seventh, 25th, second and seventh in this event over the last six seasons, and he's a clear threat to get to victory lane on Saturday.
Another massive shocker: Bell, the leader in the NASCAR standings and one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Bristol starting lineup. A 56-point lead over teammate Denny Hamlin in 13th position means that Bell has effectively guaranteed himself a spot in the next round of the 2024 NASCAR Playoffs.
That means he won't be heavily incentivized to run hard on Saturday and Joe Gibbs Racing will probably be more focused on Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr., who both currently fall below the cut line. Bell has led 359 laps in his last three starts at Bristol but hasn't finished better than third in those race and he's coming off a somewhat disappointing 14th-place finish at Watkins Glen last week. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Bristol picks
The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds of 16-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's Bristol NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2024 Bristol Night Race, and which longshots are must-backs for NASCAR prop bets? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Bristol odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 Bass Pro Shops Nigh Race odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Bristol picks at SportsLine.
Denny Hamlin 4-1
Kyle Larson 9-2
Christopher Bell 6-1
Ty Gibbs 8-1
Brad Keselowski 9-1
Chris Buescher 12-1
Ryan Blaney 16-1
Joey Logano 16-1
Martin Truex Jr. 16-1
Chase Elliott 18-1
William Byron 20-1
Kyle Busch 20-1
Tyler Reddick 20-1
Josh Berry 33-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Ross Chastain 45-1
Alex Bowman 45-1
Bubba Wallace 60-1
Michael McDowell 80-1
Carson Hocevar 100-1
AJ Allmendinger 100-1
John Hunter Nemechek 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 150-1
Noah Gragson 150-1
Erik Jones 150-1
Ryan Preece 150-1
Austin Cindric 150-1
Daniel Suarez 150-1
Austin Dillon 150-1
Todd Gilliland 300-1
Justin Haley 300-1
Corey Lajoie 300-1
Zane Smith 500-1
Kaz Grala 1000-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Daniel Hemric 1000-1
Josh Bilicki 2500-1
