Joey Logano punched his ticket into the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Finale with a win last week, but the other seven drivers alive in the 2024 NASCAR playoffs will look to extend their title pursuit on Sunday at the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400. Homestead-Miami Speedway will host and the green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET with the race scheduled for 267 laps around the 1.5-mile oval. Christopher Bell is the points leader in the NASCAR standings and he's the defending champion in this race, but Kyle Larson is the +310 favorite in the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds.
Tyler Reddick is just behind Larson on the NASCAR at Miami odds board at +430, while Bell (+500) William Byron (+700) and Denny Hamlin (+1000) round out the top five. Before entering any 2024 NASCAR at Miami 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2024 NASCAR at Miami predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Miami leaderboard.
Top 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 predictions
For the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400, the model is high on Ty Gibbs at +2200 in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Miami odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Gibbs just turned 22 earlier this month but he's already earned NASCAR Cup Series Rookie of the Year honors in 2023 and then made the NASCAR playoffs in 2024.
His title pursuit ended with the Round of 8 but he still showed up with a fast car last week in Las Vegas, qualifying eighth and then leading 23 laps before some issues led to a 30th-place finish. Gibbs had five top-10 finishes on mid-length speedways this season and he'll be looking to tap into that setup to challenge for his first career Cup win on Sunday.
And a massive shocker: Tyler Reddick (+430) stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Miami starting lineup. Reddick is currently sixth in the NASCAR standings but has a 30-point gap to make up to earn a top four spot on points as things presently stand after a disappointing 35th-place finish in Las Vegas last week.
He's had three top-five finishes in four career Cup starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway but he's only led four laps there in his career. After failing six weeks in a row now to crack the top 10, the model is expecting another disappointing finish from Reddick. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Miami picks
The model is also targeting two drivers with odds of 16-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400, and which longshots are must-backs for NASCAR prop bets? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Miami odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Miami picks at SportsLine.
Kyle Larson +310
Tyler Reddick +430
Christopher Bell +500
William Byron +700
Denny Hamlin +1000
Ryan Blaney +1200
Chase Elliott +1400
Martin Truex Jr. +1600
Ross Chastain +1700
Joey Logano +1700
Kyle Busch +1800
Ty Gibbs +2200
Brad Keselowski +2200
Bubba Wallace +2800
Alex Bowman +3500
Chris Buescher +4000
A.J. Allmendinger +4500
Chase Briscoe +5500
Daniel Suarez +6000
Austin Cindric +9000
Noah Gragson +10000
Josh Berry +10000
Austin Dillon +10000
Carson Hocevar +11000
Erik Jones +17000
Zane Smith +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
Justin Haley +20000
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Michael McDowell +25000
Corey Lajoie +25000
Todd Gilliland +30000
Ryan Preece +30000
Harrison Burton +40000
Kaz Grala +100000
JJ Yeley +100000
Chad Finchum +100000
