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NASCAR continues its journey West as the action moves from Texas to Phoenix this week for the 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Ariz. Tyler Reddick is off to a dominant start to the season, winning all three races thus far. He showed his versatility last week, winning at a road course after his first two victories came on speedways. Despite that red-hot start, Reddick is not one of the four co-favorites this week in the 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Those are Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin, all at +650. Reddick is a bit further down the NASCAR odds board at +1300. The race begins at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Before making any 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 picks or NASCAR at Phoenix predictions, you need to see the projected leaderboard from Mike McClure's proven model.

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McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action 10,000 times. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025. Anyone following his NASCAR betting picks at their favorite sportsbooks could have seen huge returns.

Now, McClure has turned his attention to the NASCAR Straight Talk Wireless 500. He's only sharing his best bets at SportsLine.

2026 NASCAR at Phoenix predictions

For NASCAR at Phoenix 2026, McClure is not picking Reddick, who has won the first three races of the season, saying he doesn't even finish in the top 5. One more win would tie Reddick for the modern record of most consecutive NASCAR races won, but his track history at Phoenix is concerning. He has just two top-five finishes at Phoenix in his 12 career races, and he finished 20th and 26th in the two Phoenix races last year.

Another surprise: Ross Chastain, a +2200 longshot, makes a strong run this week. He's a driver to target if you're looking for a big payout. Chastain had an eventful race in Austin last week as a loose wheel derailed his fast start. Before that, however, he won Stage 1 and had the fastest lap of the event. The prior week he finished third at Atlanta, so he should have a lot of confidence coming into Phoenix, where he won in 2023. See which other drivers the model is backing at SportsLine.

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How to make 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 picks

McClure is also high on a longshot of over +5000, potentially netting any backer a huge payday. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins the 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500, and which massive longshot could stun NASCAR at Phoenix? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2026 NASCAR Straight Talk Wireless picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year, and find out.

2026 NASCAR at Phoenix odds, lineup

See full NASCAR Straight Talk Wireless 500 picks at SportsLine

(Odds from FanDuel, subject to change)
Christopher Bell +650
Ryan Blaney +650
Kyle Larson +650
Denny Hamlin +650
William Byron +850
Joey Logano +1100
Tyler Reddick +1300
Chase Elliott +1500
Chase Briscoe +1900
Josh Berry +2200
Ross Chastain +2200
Chris Buescher +2500
Carson Hocevar +2700
Alex Bowman +2700
Austin Cindric +2700
Bubba Wallace +3300
Connor Zilisch +4000
Brad Keselowski +4000
Ryan Preece +4500
Kyle Busch +5500
AJ Allmendinger +5500
Ty Gibbs +5500
Austin Hill +8000
Austin Dillon +8000
Daniel Suarez +10000
Michael McDowell +10000
Erik Jones +17500
Zane Smith +17500
Noah Gragson +17500
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
Shane Van Gisbergen +20000
Todd Gilliland +40000
Riley Herbst +40000
Ty Dillon +40000
Cody Ware +40000
Cole Custer +40000