NBA player props, picks, odds: De'Aaron Fox, Amen Thompson, Cedric Coward among Wednesday NBA best bets

SportsLine's proven computer model locked in its top NBA props for Wednesday, including De'Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points

By Ryan Wooden

Feb 4, 2026 at 10:31 am ET • 4 min read

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The NBA trade deadline isn't until tomorrow, but there have already been some blockbuster trades around the league. Late last night, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Los Angeles Clippers agreed to a trade to send James Harden to Cleveland and Darius Garland to the Clippers in a move that will have a significant postseason impact. Another big-time trade that may not have postseason effects until next year is the Memphis Grizzlies and Utah Jazz agreeing to a multi-player trade, with Jaren Jackson Jr. being the highlight piece going to Utah. With four Grizzlies players being involved in this trade, their Wednesday rotation will be significantly limited, which can lead to value opportunities for NBA player prop bets. The SportsLine Projection Model has its eyes on this situation, backing Grizzlies guard Cedric Coward to go Over 15.5 points as one of its top Wednesday NBA player props.

The model also sees value in backing Spurs guard De'Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points against the Thunder and Rockets wing Amen Thompson Over 7.5 rebounds against the Celtics in its Wednesday top NBA player props. Bet NBA props with the latest FanDuel promo code, which gives new users $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 wager wins:

Targeting NBA player props will be a popular way to approach Wednesday's NBA betting at online sports betting sites. With NBA odds available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, the model can help you find value to add to your Wednesday NBA picks at various sportsbooks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the DraftKings promo code, where new users can bet $5, and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet of at least $5 wins:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 38-16 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Best NBA player prop picks on Wednesday:

Amen Thompson, Rockets, Over 7.5 rebounds
De'Aaron Fox, Spurs, Over 16.5 points
Cedric Coward, Grizzlies, Over 15.5 points

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Amen Thompson, Rockets, Over 7.5 rebounds (-111)

The 6-foot-7 guard/forward combo is coming off an 11-rebound performance against the Pacers on Monday, and he's averaging 7.8 rebounds per game this season. The 23-year-old has gone Over this total in back-to-back games, and he has at least seven rebounds in six straight contests. He's recorded at least eight rebounds in six of his last nine games as well. The Rockets play the Celtics, and Thompson had nine rebounds in his first game against Boston this season. The model projects him for 8.3 rebounds on Wednesday.

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De'Aaron Fox, Spurs, Over 16.5 points (-105)

Fox has only gone Over this total once in his last four games; however, the 28-year-old is still averaging 19.8 points per game this season. He's gone Over this total in two of four games against the Thunder, who the Spurs play on Wednesday, including games of 29 points and 22 points. Fox averaged 23.5 ppg last season, including 19.7 ppg over 17 contests with the Spurs after being traded from the Kings. He has taken on more of a facilitator's role with all the talent in San Antonio, but the model still views 16.5 points as too low a number for Wednesday. The model projects Fox for 17.8 points against the Thunder.

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Cedric Coward, Grizzlies, Over 15.5 points (-114)

The Grizzlies traded away their most reliable player and scorer this season in Jaren Jackson Jr. to the Jazz on Tuesday, and with four players shipped to Utah in the deal, Memphis will likely be shorthanded for Wednesday night. Coward is averaging 13.8 ppg this season, and the model projects that to rise on Wednesday without Jackson, and with Ja Morant (elbow) still out. Coward, the No. 11 overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft, has at least 13 points in 10 of his last 12 games, and that's with Jackson's 19.2 ppg on the floor. The Grizzlies play the Kings, who rank 27th in scoring defense at 120.4 ppg allowed this season. The model projects Coward for 19.4 points on Wednesday.

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