NBA player props, picks, odds: Jabari Smith, Jaden McDaniels, Joel Embiid among Monday NBA best bets

SportsLine's proven computer model locked in its top NBA props for Monday, including Joel Embiid Under 28.5 points

By Blake Von Hagen

Feb 2, 2026 at 11:04 am ET • 3 min read

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There are three NBA games tipping off at 7 p.m. ET or later on Monday night, featuring Pacers vs. Rockets, Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves and Clippers vs. 76ers. SportsLine's proven computer model has targeted an NBA player prop for each of those matchups, including 76ers center Joel Embiid Under 28.5 points. He is facing a Clippers team that has held six of its last 21 opponents under 100 points, going 17-4 during that stretch. The model is also backing Rockets forward Jabari Smith Over 7.5 rebounds and Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels Under 16.5 points. Bet NBA props with the latest FanDuel promo code, which gives new users $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 wager wins:

Targeting NBA player props will be a popular way to approach Monday's NBA betting at online sports betting sites. With NBA odds available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, the model can help you find value to add to your Monday NBA picks at various sportsbooks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the DraftKings promo code, where new users can bet $5, and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet of at least $5 wins:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 37-16 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Best NBA player prop picks on Monday:

Jabari Smith, Rockets, Over 7.5 rebounds
Jaden McDaniels, Timberwolves, Under 16.5 points
Joel Embiid, 76ers, Under 28.5 points

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Jabari Smith, Rockets, Over 7.5 rebounds (+110)

There are currently more rebounds to go around for players like Smith, as teammates Steven Adams and Kevin Durant are both sidelined with injuries. Smith is the team's third-leading rebounder among healthy players, averaging 7.0 boards per game. He has finished with at least seven rebounds in five straight games, going over this total in four of those contests. SportsLine's model has Smith pulling down 8.0 rebounds in its latest simulations for Rockets vs. Pacers, providing clear value at this price.

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Jaden McDaniels, Timberwolves, Under 16.5 points (+100)

McDaniels has scored 41 total points in his last two games, which has led to an inflated total on Monday night. However, he finished with 16 points or fewer in his previous four games, including a pair of single-digit point totals. Nearly one-third of his field-goal attempts are from 3-point range, so there is a lot of variance with his results. He also sits behind a pair of premier scorers in Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle, which caps his potential. McDaniels is finishing with 14.6 points in the simulations, so the Under is the side with value.

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Joel Embiid, 76ers, Under 28.5 points (-105)

Embiid has been dealing with an ankle injury and is coming off back-to-back heavy workloads, playing at least 36 minutes against both Sacramento and New Orleans. He had two big performances in those games, but some regression is expected on Monday night. The 31-year-old is facing a Clippers team that is an NBA-best 17-4 since Dec. 20, holding six opponents under 100 points during that stretch. This is expected to be one of the lowest-scoring games on Monday, which is one major reason why Embiid is scoring 25.5 points in the simulations.

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