Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, prediction, spread, time: 2026 NBA picks for Monday, March 9 from proven model

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to extend their winning streak to six games when they take on the visiting Denver Nuggets in a key Western Conference matchup on Monday night. Denver is coming off a 142-103 loss to the New York Knicks on Friday, while Oklahoma City defeated Golden State 104-97 on Saturday. The Nuggets (39-25), who are sixth in the West, are 22-12 on the road this season. The Thunder (50-15), who are first in the conference, are 26-6 on their home court. Jamal Murray (ankle) is questionable for Denver, while Chet Holmgren (flu) is questionable for OKC. 

Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds from. DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 232.5. Before making any Nuggets vs. Thunder picks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets instantly after any $5+ bet:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered Week 20 on a sizzling 41-18 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.    

Now, the model has simulated Nuggets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Nuggets:

New users can also target the latest Underdog promo code CBSSPORTS2, good for $75 in fantasy bonus entries when you play $5 in select states.

Top Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Nuggets vs. Thunder, SportsLine's model is going Over on the total (230.5). The Over has hit in seven of the past 10 head-to-head matchups between the teams. The Over has hit in six of the last nine Denver games, and in four of the last eight Oklahoma City games. The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. The Thunder, meanwhile, are 4-5 ATS in their last nine.

The SportsLine model is projecting the Nuggets' Nikola Jokic to score 24.6 points on average and be one of four Denver players to score 11.7 or more points. The Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, meanwhile, is projected to score 31.5 points as three Oklahoma City players score 10.9 points or more. The teams are projected to combine for 235 points as the Over clears 57% of the time.

How to make Thunder vs. Nuggets picks

The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's NBA picks. 

So who wins Nuggets vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.