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The Week 11 NFL schedule gives us wall-to-wall action on Sunday and right now you can use BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS to receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first qualifying wager loses or $150 in bonus bets if your first $10 wager wins. There are five games between teams with winning records today, including Rams vs. Seahawks, Broncos vs. Chiefs and Eagles vs. Lions.

Picks from all three of those games are among our NFL best bets at BetMGM Sportsbook from the SportsLine Projection Model and our team of experts. Get the newest BetMGM bonus code and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos. Sign up for BetMGM Sportsbook now:

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.  

Sunday's NFL best bets at BetMGM

  • Under 48.5 points in Rams vs. Seahawks (-110)
  • Under 45 points in Broncos vs. Chiefs (-110)
  • Lions +2.5 vs. Eagles (-102)

Combining these three picks into a Sunday parlay at BetMGM would result in a payout of +621 (risk $100 to win $621). Bet it at BetMGM Sportsbook here:

Under 48.5 points in Rams vs. Seahawks (-110)

"As both of the offenses for these respective NFC West contenders have displayed so much potency lately, keeping this scoreline beneath 50 points looks like a big chore for the defenses on the field. On the Seattle side, things have been humming with San Darnold at QB, with the big-play defense chipping in with two scores last week," legendary handicapper Bruce Marshall said. "The Seahawks are scoring at a brisk 36 ppg clip the past three weeks, with Darnold just two weeks removed from tossing 4 TDP vs. the Commanders on November 2 in D.C. As for the Rams, they're scoring at a 37 pg pace the past three as QB Matthew Stafford (25 TD passes and only 2 picks thus far!) builds a nice MVP case." Back the Under at BetMGM Sportsbook now:

Under 45 points in Broncos vs. Chiefs (-110)

These two AFC West rivals haven't played each other in a game where they've combined for 40 point or more since 2023 and this could be another low-scoring battle with Denver ranking third in the NFL in scoring defense and Kansas City ranking fourth. Both teams have been inconsistent offensively this season and that's a trend the model predicts to continue. It has the Under hitting in 60% of simulations. Back the Under at BetMGM Sportsbook now:

Lions +2.5 vs. Eagles (-118)

"The Eagles gutted out a tough win in Green Bay on Monday, but it was not an impressive showing by their offense, which managed eight or fewer yards in six of 10 offensive series. The defense was very much bend but don't break, with the Packers scoring once on six drives into Philly territory," CBS Sports Gambling and Fantasy editor R.J. White said. "This is a much tougher opponent, especially with Dan Campbell taking over playcalling duties on offense. The Lions also have a D-line capable of neutralizing Philly's strength up front and limiting scoring once again. I expect the Lions to win this game outright." Back Detroit at BetMGM Sportsbook now:

Want Week 11 NFL picks?

You've seen some of the model's best bets for Sunday. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for every NFL game on the schedule, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times.