The Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) will host the Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) for an AFC West showdown for the 2024 NFL Black Friday game. Kansas City picked up its first loss of the season in Week 11 against the Buffalo Bills, but bounced back last Sunday and beat the Carolina Panthers, 30-27. Meanwhile, Las Vegas has been in a slump, losing seven straight games. In Week 12, the Denver Broncos topped the Raiders, 29-19.

Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is set for 3 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 13-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 42.5. Before locking in any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine expert Mike Tierney, considering his mastery of picks involving Las Vegas.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. Tierney is 154-124-9 in the NFL the past two seasons, returning $1,586 to $100 players. In addition, he is an amazing 11-3 on his last 14 NFL picks in games involving the Las Vegas Raiders, returning a whopping $770. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong sports betting returns.

Now, Tierney has locked in on Raiders vs. Chiefs and just revealed his coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Raiders vs. Chiefs:

  • Raiders vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -13
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs over/under: 42.5 points
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -763, Las Vegas +526
  • LV: Raiders are 4-7 against the spread this season
  • KC: Chiefs are 5-6 against the spread this season 
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Chiefs can cover

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes puts his teammates in position to succeed. This season, he's 10th in the NFL in passing yards (2,673), sixth in passing touchdowns (18) and seventh in QBR (66.9). In his last outing, Mahomes went 27-of-37 for 269 yards, and three passing touchdowns. This was his second straight game with three passing scores.

Tight end Travis Kelce continues to be a reliable weapon in the passing game. That's so high school. He is sixth in the league in receptions (68) with 569 yards and two scores. He's gone over 60 receiving yards in four of his last five games. Tight end Noah Gray has also elevated his play, logging 27 catches for 315 yards. Gray has scored two touchdowns in each of his past two games. In the win over the Panthers, the 25-year-old had four catches for 66 yards and two touchdowns. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Raiders can cover

Tight end Brock Bowers is the top weapon on offense for the Raiders in his first season. Bowers has reliable hands and provides a mismatch for defenders. The Georgia product is second in the NFL in receptions (74) and tied for eighth in receiving yards (744) with three touchdowns. On Nov. 17 against the Miami Dolphins, Bowers had 13 catches for 126 yards and one touchdown. 

Defensive end Maxx Crosby is a game-wrecker on the defensive line. Crosby wins with speed and power, while getting his hands up at the line of scrimmage. This season, he has 39 total tackles, 14 tackles for loss, 6.5 sacks and four pass deflections. In addition, Crosby has racked up five sacks in 11 career games against the Chiefs. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Raiders vs. Chiefs picks

Tierney has analyzed Raiders vs. Chiefs from every possible angle, and while we can tell you he's leaning Over the total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. Find out what it is, and which team to back, at SportsLine. 

So who wins Raiders vs. Chiefs on NFL Black Friday 2024, and what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Chiefs spread to back, all from the expert who is 11-3 on picks involving Las Vegas, and find out.