The Denver Broncos will face off against the Atlanta Falcons in a cross-conference matchup on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. Denver is 5-5 overall and 2-2 at home, while Atlanta is 6-4 overall and 3-1 on the road. The Broncos are coming off a narrow 16-14 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs after having their potential game-winning 35-yard field goal blocked as time expired. The Falcons are looking to bounce back from a 20-17 loss to the New Orleans Saints. Denver is 7-3 and Atlanta is 5-5 against the spread this season. The Broncos lead the all-time series 8-7.
Kickoff in Denver, Colo. is at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Broncos are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Broncos vs. Falcons odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 45 points. Before locking in any Falcons vs. Broncos picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 197-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Broncos and just locked in its picks and Week 11 NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the Broncos vs. Falcons game:
- Broncos vs. Falcons spread: Broncos -1.5
- Broncos vs. Falcons over/under: 45 points
- Broncos vs. Falcons money line: Broncos -128, Falcons: +109
- Broncos vs. Falcons picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Broncos vs. Falcons streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Broncos can cover
The Broncos will head into Sunday's game looking to bounce back from a heart-breaking AFC West rivalry loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Denver largely outplayed the two-time defending champions in Week 10, but came up just short. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix led the team on impressive fourth quarter drive to set up a potential game-winning field goal.
Denver has been one of the best defensive teams in the NFL in 2024. The Broncos enter this matchup ranked fourth in points allowed (17.7) and fifth in total yards allowed (295.7) per game this season. The Broncos rank second in the NFL in total sacks (35), with edge rushers Nik Bonitto (7) and Jonathon Cooper (6.5) leading the way. See which team to pick here.
Why the Falcons can cover
The Falcons are in the thick of the NFC playoff picture thanks to an explosive offense and an opportunistic defense. Defensively, Atlanta allows 23.6 points per game this season, and has veteran playmakers all over the field. The Falcons' defensive front is led by Pro Bowlers Grady Jarrett and Matthew Judon.
Offensively, the Falcons are one of the most explosive teams in the NFL. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has been outstanding at times during his first season with the franchise, throwing for 2,634 yards, 17 touchdowns, and eight interceptions thus far. Second-year running back Bijan Robinson is proving to be one of the most dynamic players in the league with 748 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns, and 41 catches for 331 yards with score through the air. See which team to pick here.
How to make Broncos vs. Falcons picks
The model has simulated Broncos vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Falcons vs. Broncos on Sunday, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Denver vs. Atlanta spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 197-136 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
