The Atlanta Falcons will try to pull even with the first-place Tampa Bay Buccaneers when the teams meet on Thursday Night Football at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Both teams are coming off wins last Sunday, with Tampa Bay earning a 33-16 win over Philadelphia, while Atlanta downed New Orleans, 26-24. The Buccaneers (3-1), first in the AFC South, will try to win their fifth game in their last six tries at Atlanta. The Falcons (2-2), tied for second in the division with New Orleans, have won two of the last three meetings with Tampa Bay.
Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Falcons are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44, up a half-point from the opener. The Falcons are -138 money-line favorites (risk $138 to win $100) after opening at -125, while the Buccaneers are +117 underdogs. Before making any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Buccaneers vs. Falcons and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Falcons vs. Bucs:
- Buccaneers vs. Falcons spread: Atlanta -2.5
- Buccaneers vs. Falcons over/under: 44 points
- Buccaneers vs. Falcons money line: Tampa Bay +117, Atlanta -138
- TB: Buccaneers are 3-1 against the spread this season
- ATL: Falcons are 1-3 ATS through the first four weeks
- Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Falcons
Quarterback Kirk Cousins, in his 13th season in the league and first in Atlanta, has been impressive. He has completed 64.7% of his passes for 864 yards and four touchdowns with four interceptions. He has been working his way back from an Achilles injury he suffered last year as a member of the Minnesota Vikings. In 154 career games, Cousins has thrown for 40,335 yards, completing 66.9% of his passes with 274 touchdowns and 114 interceptions.
Wide receiver Drake London leads the Falcons with 20 receptions for 200 yards and two touchdowns. He has 50 yards after the catch and has converted nine first downs. In last Sunday's win over the Saints, he caught six passes for 64 yards with two first-down conversions. In the 22-17 loss to Kansas City a week earlier, he caught six passes for 67 yards and a score. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back the Buccaneers
Veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield has been dominant this season. He has completed 70.5% of his passes on 91-of-129 passing for 984 yards and eight touchdowns. He has been intercepted just twice and has a rating of 106.9. He has also rushed for a pair of scores. In last Sunday's win over the Eagles, he completed 30 of 47 passes for 347 yards and two touchdowns.
Running back Bucky Irving has helped lead the ground attack. He has carried 35 times for 203 yards (5.8 average) and one touchdown. He has had two explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a long of 32 yards. In the win over Philadelphia, he carried 10 times for 49 yards and one touchdown. See which team to pick here.
How to make Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting 47 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations. You can only get the NFL model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Falcons vs. Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Buccaneers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.
