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The quarterbacks should be the key Sunday in NFL Week 14 when the struggling Minnesota Vikings host the Washington Commanders. Minnesota's J.J. McCarthy is returning from a concussion, while Commanders star Jayden Daniels is returning from a dislocated elbow. Both teams have been floundering largely because of the quarterback situations, with the Commanders (3-9) coming in on a seven-game losing skid and and Vikings (4-8) having lost six of their past seven.

Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The Vikings are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Commanders vs. Vikings odds and the total is set at 42.5 points. Check out the top NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, before placing any NFL bets of your own.

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Where to bet on Commanders vs. Vikings

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Where to watch Commanders vs. Vikings on Sunday

When: Sunday, Dec. 7
Time: 1 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Stream: Fubo
Follow along: CBS Sports App

Commanders vs. Vikings betting preview

Odds: Vikings -1.5, over/under 42.5

This could be a tough game for everyone, including bettors. Both teams are 4-8 against the spread, and Washington is 1-5 ATS on the road while Minnesota is 1-4 ATS at home. The quarterback situations have made this difficult to handicap, but Daniels and McCarthy are both 2-4 straight-up in their starts this season. 

Click here to bet Vikings vs. Commanders at FanDuel Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonus bets if their first bet of at least $5 wins:

Commanders vs. Vikings SGP

  • Over 42.5 (-108 at DraftKings)
  • Commanders money line (+110 at DraftKings)
  • Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown scorer (+225 at DraftKings)

Final odds: +800 at DraftKings (wager $100 to win $800)

Model's Commanders vs. Vikings score prediction, picks

The SportsLine Projection Model has the Commanders covering the 1.5-point spread in 62% of simulations and winning outright 59% of the time, bringing value on the money line. The offensive troubles have made the total a hit-or-miss proposition, with Washington 6-6 to the Over and the Vikings 5-7. The model sees only slight value on the Over, with it hitting at 49%, a little better than the implied odds.

Commanders vs. Vikings score prediction: Commanders 23, Vikings 20

Want more Week 14 NFL picks?

You've seen the model's best bets for Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for every Week 14 NFL game here, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times.