The Washington Commanders needed a Hail Mary to beat the Bears in Week 8 and will try to extend their current winning streak to three games as the face off against NFC East rivals, the New York Giants on Sunday afternoon. Washington (6-2) beat Chicago on the final play, 18-15, while New York lost on Monday night in Pittsburgh, 26-18. The Commanders snapped a three game losing streak in this rivalry with a 21-18 victory over the Giants in Week 2. Washington is 6-1-1 against the spread, while New York is 3-5 ATS in 2024.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is a 4-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Giants odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 44.5. Before making any Giants vs. Commanders picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 13-5 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 194-134 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 48-27 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Giants and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 9 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Commanders:

  • Giants vs. Commanders spread: Commanders -4
  • Giants vs. Commanders over/under: 44.5 points
  • Giants vs. Commanders money line: Commanders -207, Giants +172
  • Giants vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Giants vs. Commanders streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Commanders can cover

With NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Commanders look like a team of destiny thus far in 2024. Washington has won six of seven games since a season-opening loss to Tampa Bay and Daniels has been sensational throughout. Though he's battling a rib injury, Daniels managed to hit Noah Brown on a 52 yard Hail Mary on the game's final play to get the victory. On the season, Daniels has thrown for 1,736 yards and seven touchdowns, while rushing for 424 yards and four scores.

Running back Brian Robinson Jr. (questionable, hamstring) has rushed for 461 yards and six touchdowns in seven games and has been the ideal complement to Daniels' rushing skills. After a slow start to the season, wide receiver Terry McLaurin has topped 50 yards in each of his last six games, including three of them over 100 yards receiving. On the season, he has 40 catches for 579 yards and four touchdowns. Washington's offense should be a difficult assignment for the undermanned Giants defense. See which team to pick here.

Why the Giants can cover

Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has struggled again in 2024, having only thrown for 1,706 yards and six touchdowns against five interceptions. Despite having a dynamic playmaker in first round rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers, Jones continues to underperform and is at the risk of being benched in the coming weeks. While he played well in Week 2 against Washington (16/28, 178 yards, 2 touchdowns), the leash might be shorter for the former franchise QB in Week 9.

Nabers has been excellent when healthy for New York, with 46 catches for 498 yards and three scores in only six games. Unsurprisingly, efficiency has plagued Nabers like the entire offense, as he has 27 extra targets and has not caught a pass longer than 39 yards. Rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 145 yards and a score on Monday night and looks like a keeper for New York. He was in concussion protocol this week, but was a full participant at Friday's practice and does not carry an injury designation. See which team to pick here.

How to make Commanders vs. Giants picks

The model has simulated Washington vs. New York 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's Commanders vs. Giants pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Giants vs. Commanders on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Washington vs. New York spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 194-134 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.