The Dallas Cowboys (3-4) will try to win their first game in a month when they go on the road to face the Atlanta Falcons (5-3) on Sunday afternoon. Dallas has suffered losses to Detroit and San Francisco along with having a bye two weeks ago, falling under the .500 mark this season. Atlanta has been trending in the opposite direction, winning four of its last five games. The Falcons took over first place in the NFC South with their 31-26 win at Tampa Bay last week.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons are favored by 3 points in the latest Falcons vs. Cowboys odds, while the over/under is 51.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Cowboys vs. Falcons picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 13-5 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 194-134 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 48-27 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Dallas-Atlanta. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Cowboys vs. Falcons spread: Falcons -3
- Cowboys vs. Falcons over/under: 52 points
- Cowboys vs. Falcons money line: Falcons -173, Cowboys +146
- Cowboys vs. Falcons picks: See picks here
- Cowboys vs. Falcons streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta has benefited greatly from the addition of veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins this season, as he has 2,106 passing yards and 14 touchdowns this season. Cousins helped propel his team to the top of the NFC South with a 31-26 win over Tampa Bay last week, completing 23 of 29 passes for 276 yards and four touchdowns. Running back Bijan Robinson had another strong performance, rushing for 63 yards while catching seven passes for 43 yards and a touchdown.
Robinson has gone over 100 scrimmage yards with a touchdown in three straight games, scoring four total touchdowns during that stretch. He is facing a Dallas defense that has allowed 77 combined points in its last two games, getting blown out by Detroit before losing at San Francisco. The Falcons have covered the spread in four of the last six meetings between these teams. See which team to pick here.
Why the Cowboys can cover
Dallas is coming off a narrow road loss at San Francisco, but it won its first three road games this season. Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott got hot in the second half against the 49ers, leading a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown drives. Prescott has 1,845 passing yards and 10 touchdowns this season, averaging more than 260 passing yards per game.
Star wide receiver CeeDee Lamb has 45 receptions for 613 yards and four touchdowns after racking up a season-high 146 receiving yards and two scores last week. The Cowboys are 4-0 following back-to-back losses since 2021, and they desperately need a win on Sunday. They have won six of their last seven games in November, while Atlanta has only covered the spread once in its last five home games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Falcons vs. Cowboys picks
The model has simulated Cowboys vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Atlanta vs. Dallas on Sunday, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Falcons spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 194-134 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
