Jets vs. Patriots odds, prediction, time: NFL picks, Thursday Night Football bets from model on 41-22-roll

SportsLine's model simulated New England Patriots vs. New York Jets on Thursday Night Football 10,000 times

By CBS Sports Staff

Sep 19, 2024 at 7:02 pm ET • 3 min read

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The New England Patriots and New York Jets will meet in a key AFC East matchup at MetLife Stadium on Thursday Night Football. New England opened with a 16-10 win over Cincinnati before losing in overtime to Seattle last Sunday. New York dropped a 32-19 decision at San Francisco in Week 1 before beating Tennessee last week. The Patriots have owned New York, winning 36 of the past 44 meetings since 2003, including 15 of the last 16. The Jets are looking to make the postseason for the first time since 2010, when they reached the AFC Championship Game, falling to Pittsburgh, 24-19. Jets linebacker C.J. Mosley is inactive with a toe injury.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Jets are six-point favorites in the latest Patriots vs. Jets odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 38.5. Before making any Jets vs. Patriots picks, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Jets and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Jets vs. Patriots:

Jets vs. Patriots spread: New York Jets -6
Jets vs. Patriots over/under: 38.5 points
Jets vs. Patriots money line: New England +222, New York Jets -272
NE: Patriots are 8-10 on the road over their last 18 games
NYJ: Jets are 7-10 at home since the start of 2022
Jets vs. Patriots picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Jets

After earning his first win as New York's starting quarterback, future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers will look to build off that success against the Patriots. Rodgers is 2-1 all-time as a starter against New England. In the win over Tennessee, he completed 18 of 30 passes (60%) for 176 yards and two scores. He also had a TD in the loss at San Francisco on Sept. 9.

Rodgers' top target has been wide receiver Garrett Wilson. For the season, he has 10 receptions for 117 yards, including one explosive play of 26 yards. He has also converted six first downs. He has played in 36 career games and has recorded 188 catches for 2,262 yards (12.0 average) with seven TDs. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Patriots

Running back Rhamondre Stevenson leads the New England rushing attack. In two games, he has carried 46 times for 201 yards (4.4 average) and two touchdowns. In a 16-10 season-opening win over the Cincinnati Bengals, he carried 25 times for 120 yards and a score. The fourth-year veteran was limited to 12 games last season, carrying 156 times for 619 yards (4.0 average) and four TDs.

Defensively, safety Kyle Dugger leads the team in tackles through two games. He has made 15 stops, including 10 solo, with one sack for four yards and three tackles for loss. He also has knocked down one pass and forced one fumble. He was third on the team last year with 109 tackles, including 71 solo, with 1.5 sacks, seven pass breakups and two interceptions. See which team to pick here.