Patriots vs. Ravens prediction, odds, time: Week 16 'Sunday Night Football' picks by proven model

AFC contenders will meet on 'Sunday Night Football' when the New England Patriots visit the Baltimore Ravens. The Pats (11-3) saw their 10-game winning streak come to an end in Week 15 when they fell to Buffalo, 35-31. The Ravens (7-7) defeated Cincinnati, 24-0, on Sunday, which ended a two-game losing streak. New England can clinch a playoff berth with a victory, which would put it in the postseason for the first time since 2021.

Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens won the last matchup, 37-26, back in 2022. The latest Ravens vs. Patriots odds have Baltimore as 3-point favorites, while the over/under for total points scored is 48.5 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Before making any Patriots vs. Ravens picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 16 on a 52-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Ravens vs. Patriots. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting trends for Patriots vs. Ravens:

Why the Patriots can cover

No AFC team has a better spread record than New England at 9-5, and the team has also covered in five of six away games. Meanwhile, no team in the NFL has a worse spread record than Baltimore at 5-9, and the Ravens have failed to cover in four of their last five contests. On the field, the Pats have incredible balance, ranking No. 7 in both scoring offense and scoring defense, and the team is coming off a season-high of 246 rushing yards on Sunday. Baltimore's run defense is exploitable this year as after ranking No. 1 versus the run in 2024, the team is just 15th this season. In addition to New England's backs, QB Drake Maye could also take advantage of Baltimore's run defense after he had 43 yards and two TDs on the ground last week. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

Why the Ravens can cover

The elite Ravens defense which has always been associated with the franchise returned last week as Baltimore pitched its first shutout in over seven years. That came versus a Bengals offense which had scored 30-plus in three straight Joe Burrow starts, while the Patriots offense has issues scoring in the redzone. It ranks 24th in redzone scoring, while the Patriots are dead last in redzone defense as just about every team which gets inside their 20-yard-line ends up with a touchdown instead of a field goal. Baltimore leads the NFL with 5.2 yards per carry, and Lamar Jackson had four passing touchdowns, plus 100-plus yards and a score on the ground, the last time he faced the Pats. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Patriots vs. Ravens picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Ravens vs. Patriots 10,000 times is going Over on the total, projecting 52 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Patriots vs. Ravens, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Patriots spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished up over $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception, and find out.