The Bengals ended many survivor pools both in Week 1 and Week 3, as Joe Burrow has now lost his last five starts. Cincinnati is coming off a short week and traveling to Carolina, which looked like a potent team in getting its first win last week. Add in that quarterback Andy Dalton gets to face his former team and the Panthers are, somewhat shockingly, in some people's Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks. If you're not ready to make that leap, then the team that the Bengals lost to on Monday could be another squad to pick on for NFL knockout pool picks.
Washington also has to travel on a short week to Arizona, and the Commanders have lost their last three games with short rest, all coming by double-digits. The Cardinals and the Panthers are 1-2 this season, but you shouldn't entirely rule them out in Week 4 NFL eliminator pool picks. Before finalizing any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as its top survivor pick. New Orleans won in 79% of SportsLine's simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the most lopsided game of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the model recommended the Chargers, who were also picked to win in 79% of simulations, and L.A. also manhandled the Panthers, 26-3. In Week 3, the model backed Seattle to win 74% of the time, and the Seahawks easily dispatched of Miami, 24-3.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and locked in its Week 4 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the 49ers (-10.5, 40.5) versus New England, even though the Niners are the first double-digit favorite of the season. The 49ers blew a 14-point lead in a loss to the Rams last week, which continues the early-season struggles they've dealt with over the last few years. While San Francisco sports an NFL-best 23-4 record in Games 9-17 since 2021, it is just 13-14 in Games 1-8 over this stretch.
The Niners are getting healthier, but RB Christian McCaffrey and DT Javon Hargrave remain out, with the latter ranking second only to the Chiefs Chris Jones in sacks by a defensive tackle since 2021. As for New England, it will enter this contest well rested after playing last Thursday, and the last time the Pats were refreshed and rested, they upset Cincinnati in Week 1. Add in that favorites of 7+ points this season are 0-4 outright, and San Fran is just too sketchy for Week 4 NFL knockout pools. See which team to pick instead here.
How to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising team that wins outright in well over 70% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.
Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 4 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 4, all from the advanced computer model that nailed its Weeks 1, 2 and 3 survivor picks and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.
