One of the most high-profile sports events of the year will take place on Sunday, June 7, with the F1 Monaco Grand Prix. McLaren's Lando Norris is the reigning champion of this race, but he has just one podium finish in the 2026 season. Mercedes has been the dominant team so far, but Ferrari have made up some ground to keep the constructor's championship standings interesting. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell appear to be battling for the driver's championship, but Mercedes will need to ensure they don't go too hard racing each other and give Ferrari a bigger opening. Antonelli has been on fire of late, winning each of the last four races. After Saturday's qualifying, he's in prime position to win again on Sunday.
Qualifying is always important in F1 racing, and it's absolutely paramount at Monaco. Antonelli won the pole position, which is key as this race presents almost no opportunities for passing. Unless a driver messes up in a major way, the qualifying order often ends up being the finishing order on race day. With that in mind, we'll take a look at the best trades on Kalshi for Sunday's race. Use the latest Kalshi promo code to get a $10 sign-up bonus after trading $10+:
Monaco Grand Prix winner
- Kimi Antonelli: $0.61
- Max Verstappen: $0.25
- Lewis Hamilton: $0.12
- Charles Leclerc: $0.06
- George Russell: $0.01
- Lando Norris: $0.01
- Oscar Piastri: $0.01
This is Leclerc's home track, and while he's still viewed as a top contender to win this year's event, he finished fourth in qualifying. Instead, it was Antonelli who won the pole position Saturday with a top time of 1:12.051, edging out Verstappen. Antonelli and Russell have won every pole this season, and Antonelli has won each of the last four races and could very well make it five in a row after earning yet another pole this weekend.
Monaco Grand Prix podium finisher
- Kimi Antonelli: $0.84
- Lewis Hamilton: $0.72
- Max Verstappen: $0.71
- Charles Leclerc: $0.54
- George Russell: $0.16
- Isack Hadjay: $0.09
- Oscar Piastri: $0.04
- Lando Norris: $0.03
Leclerc is getting a lot of love as the hometown hero but Antonelli has been the sport's top star this year, and after winning another pole, he's in Position A to win his fifth straight race. At the very least, he's heavily expected to finish on the podium, as are Verstappen and Hamilton, who finished second and third, respectively, in qualifying. Mercedes might be getting some pressure from Ferrari, but the two top Mercedes drivers -- Antonelli and Russell -- have combined for five wins and seven podium finishes. Backing Leclerc could very well pay off as well, and there's a bit more value there than there was initially, as he opened at $0.66 to finish on the podium. This is a market where you can back multiple drivers and get multiple victories.
